Labor exports from Palestine to Israel: a boon or bane for the West Bank economy?
, , und | 17. Aug. 2020
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Online veröffentlicht: 17. Aug. 2020
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/izajolp-2020-0008
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© 2020 Johanes Agbahey, Khalid Siddig, Harald Grethe, Scott McDonald, published by Sciendo
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
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Annex 2
Annex 3
Changes in employment status (worker and percentage) among labor categories
| Moving out of unemployment to employment in Israel | Moving out of unemployment to employment in the domestic market | Total moving out of unemployment | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate labor | 25,778 (56%) | 20,009 (44%) | 45,787 (100%) |
| Male population | 25,352 (63%) | 15,038 (37%) | 40,390 (100%) |
| Female population | 426 (8%) | 4,971 (92%) | 5,397 (100%) |
| Low-skilled | 23,452 (69%) | 10,415 (31%) | 33,866 (100%) |
| High skilled | 2,327 (20%) | 9,594 (80%) | 11,921 (100%) |
List of accounts in the social accounting matrix
| No | Commodity (c) | No | Commodity (c) – contd. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olives | 25 | Cars and lorries |
| 2 | Cereals, other crops | 26 | Machinery, and equipment |
| 3 | Fruits, nuts and flowers | 27 | Furniture |
| 4 | Vegetables, horticultural specialties | 28 | Other manufacturing |
| 5 | Animals | 29 | Electricity, gas and water |
| 6 | Milk | 30 | Construction |
| 7 | Forestry products | 31 | Maintenance and repair of motor vehicles |
| 8 | Fishery products | 32 | Repair of personal and household goods |
| 9 | Stone, sand, clay and other minerals | 33 | Other retail sale |
| 10 | Meat, meat products | 34 | Other wholesale |
| 11 | Fish, fish products | 35 | Hotels and restaurants |
| 12 | Processed fruits, vegetables | 36 | Freight transport by road |
| 13 | Olive oil | 37 | Passenger land transport |
| 14 | Oils, fats | 38 | Other transport, storage, travel agencies |
| 15 | Grain mills, starches | 39 | National post activities |
| 16 | Bakery products | 40 | Remaining communication |
| 17 | Other food | 41 | Finance, insurance and auxiliary services |
| 18 | Beverages | 42 | Real estate, and renting activities |
| 19 | Textiles and wearing apparel and leather | 43 | Other business activities |
| 20 | Paper and publishing products | 44 | Public administration, defence |
| 21 | Coke, petroleum products | 45 | Education |
| 22 | Other chemical products | 46 | Health, social work |
| 23 | Other nonmetallic mineral products | 47 | Recreational, cultural and sporting |
| 24 | Metals | 48 | Other services |
Number of Palestinian workers in Israel in the base (physical units) and in the scenarios (% change as compared to the base)
| Core scenarios | Sensitivity analyses | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (unit = 8 hours) | (%) | (%) | (%) | (%) | (%) | (%) | |
| Low-skilled ineligible males | 17,364 | +39.4% | +26.4% | +35.7% | −35.7% | ||
| Low-skilled weakly eligible males | 19,065 | +49.7% | +39.4% | +26.4% | +35.7% | −35.7% | |
| Low-skilled highly eligible males | 29,128 | +35.7% | +49.7% | +39.4% | +26.4% | +35.7% | −35.7% |
| Low-skilled females | 1,162 | +35.7% | +35.7% | +39.4% | +26.4% | +35.7% | −35.7% |
| High-skilled ineligible males | 3,123 | +35.7% | +124.5% | +35.7% | −35.7% | ||
| High-skilled weakly eligible males | 1,254 | +35.7% | +49.7% | +124.5% | +35.7% | −35.7% | |
| High-skilled highly eligible males | 2,559 | +35.7% | +49.7% | +124.5% | +35.7% | −35.7% | |
| High-skilled females | 32 | +35.7% | +35.7% | +124.5% | +35.7% | −35.7% | |
| Total Palestinian workers in Israel | 73,687 | +35.7% | +35.7% | +35.7% | +35.7% | +35.7% | −35.7% |
| Total Palestinian labor force | 717,855 | +5.0% | |||||
Changes in macroeconomic, household and labor force indicators compared to the Base under the sensitivity analyses and the scenario PreInti
| Indicators | Core Scenario | Sensitivity analyses | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macroeconomic indicators | Change in real GDP | −3.98% | |||||
| Change in domestic output | −2.92% | ||||||
| Change in import demand | −5.62% | ||||||
| Change in export | −5.07% | −5.37% | −5.05% | −5.21% | −4.81% | ||
| Household indicators | Change in household consumption | −6.26% | |||||
| Change in household income | −9 23% | ||||||
| Change in household welfare | −5.35% | ||||||
| Labor force indicators | Change in the number of unemployed | −36.96% | −37.08% | −36.79% | −37.44% | −30.08% | |
| Change in the number of employed in the domestic West Bank market | −4.03% | ||||||
Shares of commodity groups in total exports and shares of exports in domestic output in the West Bank in 2011
| 21.1% | 22.4% | |
| 0.6% | 12.1% | |
| 62.8% | 72.4% | |
| 15.4% | 3.2% | |
| 100% | 14.8% |