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VAT Gap Estimation and Influence of Selected Methods of Financial Administration on its Reduction


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Figure 1

Share of selected methods on the overall change of tax in 2015
Source: own processing, 2020
Share of selected methods on the overall change of tax in 2015 Source: own processing, 2020

Figure 2

Share of selected methods on the overall change of VAT in 2016
Source: own processing, 2020
Share of selected methods on the overall change of VAT in 2016 Source: own processing, 2020

Figure 3

Comparison of the output of VAT gap in 2015 and 2016 K (in mil. CZK)
Source: own processing, 2020
Comparison of the output of VAT gap in 2015 and 2016 K (in mil. CZK) Source: own processing, 2020

Intermediate consumption and gross formation of capital (financial institutions, in mil. CZK)

Period 2015 2016
Intermediate consumption + Gross formation of capital after adjustment and setting of share without a claim for deduction (financial institutions) 112,720 108,005

Theoretical tax liability (in mil. CZK)

Period 2015 2016
Theoretical tax liability 437,344 443,568

Summary table of VAT indicators for 2015 and 2016

Indicator/Year 2015 2016
mil. CZK Percent mil. CZK Percent
Theoretical tax liability for VAT 437,344 443,568
Real collection VAT 331,836 349,460
VAT gap with interventions 105,508 24.12 94,108 21.22
Share of Control Statement on real collection 0 0 454 0.13
Share of Tax Checks and Procedures for doubt removal on real collection 24,226 7.3 17,328 4.96
Share of selected methods on real collection IN TOTAL 24,226 7.3 17,782 5.09
Real collection on VAT without fiscal benefits of financial administration 307,610 331,678
VAT gap without the methods of financial administration 129,734* 29.66** 111,890*** 25.22**

Calculation of average amounts of acquisition of fix assets

Sale and transfer of used fix assets (in mil. CZK) NISID Financial institutions Governmental institutions Households
2010 523 6,886 48,794 137,133
2011 428 8,092 41,464 148,300
2012 462 6,659 28,428 162,622
2013 417 7,475 28,514 184,680
2014 356 5,857 23,195 161,197
2015 411 10,187 24,974 198,812
Average 2016 433 7,526 32,562 165,457
Net acquisition of fix assets 2016 4,982 32,455 158,823 211,922
Net acquisition of fix assets + average of sales and transfer of used fix assets 5,415 39,981 191,385 377,379

Intermediate consumption and gross formation of capital (non-profit institutions, in mil. CZK)

Period 2015 2016
Intermediate consumption + gross formation of capital after adjustment (non-profit institutions) 51,050 41,939

Intermediate consumption and gross formation of capital (governmental institutions in mil. CZK)

Period 2015 2016
Intermediate consumption + gross formation of capital after adjustment and deduction of collective consumption 134,140 53,042

Analysis of individuals – active VAT payers

2015 Share on total 2016 Share on total
Individuals – active VAT payers, domestic 291,133 23.32 280,274 22.59
Individuals – active businessmen handing in personal income tax 957,185 76.68 960,550 77.41
Individuals – total 1,248,318 100.00 1,240,824 100.00

Gross formation of the capital after adjustment (households, in mil. CZK)

Period 2015 2016
Gross formation of the capital after adjustment of the expenditures of non-/residents, acquisition of housing, exemption of share of VAT tax payers and deduction of production for own usage 119,681 98,861

Absolute and relative VAT gap (in mil. CZK, in %)

Period 2015 2016
VAT gap (mil. CZK) 105,508 94,108
VAT gap (Percent) 24.12 21.22

Gross domestic product with the adjustment of import and export (in mil. CZK)

Period 2015 2016
GDP 4,595,783 4,773,240
GDP after adjustment of import and export 4,320,094 4,416,037

Comparison of accessible VAT gap estimations

SOURCE 2012 2013
mil. CZK Percent mil. CZK Percent
Study CASE – Final report 2017 72,439 20.00 71,116 19.00
NKÚ – Summary from the control event 14/17 100,634 26.00 104,936 25.70
Moravec et al. – calculation with the help of form of supplies and usage 115,557 28.70 118,445 28.05
Moravec et al. – GDP cleaning method 65,369 16.26 69,034 16.07
Stavjaňová – calculation with the help of form of supplies and usage 127,000 31.40

VAT revenues related to selected methods of financial administration (in thousand CZK)

Method/Year 2015 2016
Change of tax – Summons from control statement 0 214,295
Change of tax – Initiatives from pairing control statement 0 239,621
Additionally assessed taxes from Tax checks 13,660,791 12,454,914
Revenue from Procedures for doubt removal 10,564,998 4,872,856

Formation of gross fix capital (national economy, in mil. CZK)

Period 2015 2016
Formation of fix capital after change of supplies and net valuables acquisition 1,284,787 1,257,260

Comparison of accessible VAT gap estimations (mil. CZK/%) – part 2

SOURCE 2014 2015 2016
mil. CZK Percent mil. CZK Percent mil. CZK Percent
Study CASE – Final report 2017 63,697 17 66,669 16
NKÚ – Summary from the control event 14/17
Moravec et al. – Calculation with the help of form of supplies and usage 113,828 26.27
Moravec et al. – GDP cleaning method 60,524 13.77
Stavjaňová – Calculation with the help of form of supplies and usage
GDP cleaning method calculated by authors 105,508 24.12 94,108 21.22
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