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Economic analysis of corruption at the company level

   | 20. Nov. 2020

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Fig. 1

CPI index between 2013 and 2016. Source: Transparency International.www.transparency.org (access 04/05/2019).
CPI index between 2013 and 2016. Source: Transparency International.www.transparency.org (access 04/05/2019).

Fig. 2

Correlation between corruption and economic growth. Source: The Economist based on Transparency International, UN.https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2011/12/02/corrosive-corruption (accessed 07/16/2020).
Correlation between corruption and economic growth. Source: The Economist based on Transparency International, UN.https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2011/12/02/corrosive-corruption (accessed 07/16/2020).

Fig. 3

Classification of types of corruption. Source: Chrustowski T, Prawne, kryminologiczne i kryminalistyczne aspekty łapówkarstwa [Legal, criminological and forensic aspects of bribery], Legal Publishing House, Warsaw 1985.
Classification of types of corruption. Source: Chrustowski T, Prawne, kryminologiczne i kryminalistyczne aspekty łapówkarstwa [Legal, criminological and forensic aspects of bribery], Legal Publishing House, Warsaw 1985.

Fig. 4

Perception of corruption by companies. Source: BEEPS database.
Perception of corruption by companies. Source: BEEPS database.

Fig. A1

ROC curves. Source: BEEPS database.
ROC curves. Source: BEEPS database.

Fig. A2

ROC curve (only significant variables). Source: BEEPS database.
ROC curve (only significant variables). Source: BEEPS database.

Fig. A3

ROC curve – only macroeconomic variables. Source: Bąk 2020.
ROC curve – only macroeconomic variables. Source: Bąk 2020.

Regression outcomes for microeconomic variables

CorruptionCoeff. (Std. Err.)ZP>|z|
Years on the market0.0089*** (0.0027)3.290.001
Employment−0.0268 (0.0219)−1.230.22
Sta_capital−1.1087** (0.4776)−2.320.02
For_capital−0.1921 (0.1430)−1.340.179
State_prod0.0211 (0.1075)0.20.845
Time_officials0.3673*** (0.1249)2.940.003
Audits0.0089 (0.0047)1.880.06
Efficiency0.0216*** (0.0075)2.860.004
Thefts3.4493*** (1.1172)3.090.002
small_loc−0.1215 (0.0819)−1.480.138
medium_loc−0.3331*** (0.0848)−3.930
large_loc−0.3411*** (0.1159)−2.940.003
small_company−0.0388 (0.0968)−0.40.689
medium_company−0.0402 (0.0920)−0.440.662
_cons0.6286** (0.2513)2.50.012
Country EffectTAK
Industry effectTAK
Number of observations7486
F-Statistic948.15
Pseudo R20.0940
p-value0.0000

Descriptive statistics for the Business sector variables

VariableNumber of observationsStd. Dev.Min.Max.
Other16.5660.271501
Food products16.5660.258701
Textiles16.5660.156701
Clothing16.5660.187601
Chemicals16.5660.151601
Plastics and rubber16.5660.142801
Mineral products16.5660.196601
Metals and raw materials16.5660.073901
Metal products16.5660.200101
Machines and devices16.5660.236001
Electronics16.5660.116501
Construction16.5660.281001
Wholesale16.5660.349301
Retail16.5660.421501
Hotels and restaurants16.5660.200101
IT16.5660.135101

Statistics of microeconomic variables

VariableNumber of observationsSDMin.Max.
Corruption15.9040.483201
Years on the market16.56612.06240178
Employment15.0391.370809.21034
Sta_capital16.5660.075100.99
For_capital16.5660.195901
State_prod16.5660.260701
Time_officials16.5660.201601
Audits8.4965.31481150
Efficiency15.0393.579808.269244
Thefts16.5660.025301
small_loc16.5660.440101
medium_loc16.5660.494201
large_loc16.5660.315301
small_company16.5660.499001
medium_company16.5660.477201
large_company16.5660.321301

Explanatory and explained continuous variables

NameVariable
CorruptionCorresponds to the percentage of the answer to the question ‘Is corruption an obstacle to business?’
Years on the marketThe company’s existence on the market in years
Employmentnumber of employees
Sta_capitalState ownership in capital (%)
For_capitalForeign ownership in capital (%)
state productionPercentage of production sold domestically
Time_officialsTime spent on contacting government officials (% of work time)
AuditsNumber of state audits
EfficiencyThe ratio of sales to employees
TheftsLosses caused by theft (% of revenues)
InvestmentsThe level of investments in the country as% of GDP
GDP per capitaGDP per capita calculated in %

Comparison of the estimation results of the logit and probit models

Variablelogitprobit
Years on the market0.008765020.00530975
Employment−0.00008314−0.00004948
Sta_capital−1.133988−0.62454681
For_capital−0.197049−0.1253618
State_prod0.025412150.01607862
Time_officials0.369512540.22890388
Audits0.009076960.00543676
Efficiency0.021501280.01288578
Thefts3.43652431.8378906
Other0.037481130.02313259
Food products−0.14439709−0.0845678
Textiles0.35215860.21495443
Clothing0.119527860.07476893
Chemicals0.520015810.31532122
Plastics and rubber−0.03725552−0.01415368
Mineral products0.324950710.19949212
Metals and raw materials−0.0577727−0.02944644
Metal products0.024822830.01903884
Machines and devices0.137148820.08354676
Electronics0.25960350.15581276
Construction0.35447810.22319262
Wholesale0.206228160.13128126
Retail−0.0664786−0.03453299
Hotels and restaurants−0.1737417−0.09251344
IT0.339416520.2147104
small_loc−0.12165995−0.07618389
medium_loc−0.33236935−0.2025015
large_loc−0.33919617−0.20681956
small_company−0.00148480.00030351
medium_company−0.02023952−0.01255519
medium_company−0.02023952−0.01255519
Bulgaria–1.1978914−0.73944942
Albania−1.1592144−0.71822055
Croatia−1.1413132−0.70407362
Belarus−2.0420131−1.2431616
Georgia−2.6648174−1.5931303
Tajikistan−1.4865773−0.9180442
Turkey−1.2972634−0.80528348
Ukraine−0.40252307−0.24803484
Uzbekistan−3.5135959−2.0308543
Russia−0.88202438−0.54765707
Romania−0.13433538−0.08237083
Kazakhstan−1.2451245−0.76820525
Bosnia_and_Herzegovina_Ha−1.0461743−0.6461674
Azerbaijan−3.0499892−1.792391
Macedonia−1.8585547−1.1448237
Armenia−1.8512206−1.1417558
Kyrgyzstan0.351241330.21087963
Estonia−3.0235201−1.8171122
Czech Republic−1.1688309−0.7194871
Italy−2.2520163−1.3720082
Latvia−1.9601472−1.2002027
Lithuania−1.7678234−1.0833992
Slovakia−0.99406504−0.6160503
Slovenia−2.1529345−1.304369
Serbia−1.5845897−0.97913306
Cyprus−1.6468074−1.0145575
Greece0.462292530.26145001
Moldova−1.0586318−0.65745899
Mongolia−1.665327−1.025903
Montenegro−2.827147−1.6969201
Poland−1.5308906−0.939425
_cons0.541539840.33342044

Model estimation for the country effect

CorruptionCoeff. (Std. Err.)zP>|z|
Bulgaria−1.2071*** (0.2338)−5.1600
Albania−1.1592*** (0.2098)−5.5200
Croatia−1.1568*** (0.2430)−4.7600
Belarus−2.0415*** (0.2905)−7.0300
Georgia−2.6626*** (0.3789)−7.0300
Tajikistan−1.4810*** (0.2225)−6.6600
Turkey−1.2983*** (0.1958)−6.6300
Ukraine−0.3955** (0.1922)−2.0600.04
Uzbekistan−3.5079*** (0.4045)−8.6700
Russia−0.8858*** (0.1792)−4.9400
Romania−0.1506 (0.2055)−0.7300.464
Kazakhstan−1.2396*** (0.2477)−5.0000
Bosnia and Herzegovina−1.0536*** (0.2142)−4.9200
Azerbaijan−3.0388*** (0.2907)−10.4500
Macedonia−1.8757*** (0.2192)−8.5600
Armenia−1.8567*** (0.2236)−8.3000
Kyrgyzstan0.3629 (0.2298)1.5800.114
Estonia−3.0317*** (0.5035)−6.0200
Czech Republic−1.1714*** (0.2448)−4.7900
Italy−2.2347*** (0.2640)−8.4600
Latvia−1.9786*** (0.2901)−6.8200
Lithuania−1.7852*** (0.2866)−6.2300
Slovakia−1.0013*** (0.2618)−3.8200
Slovenia−2.1769*** (0.4199)−5.1800
Serbia−1.5975*** (0.2292)−6.9700
Cyprus−1.6615*** (0.3262)−5.0900
Greece0.4579 (0.3170)1.4400.149
Moldova−1.0548*** (0.2134)−4.9400
Mongolia−1.6670*** (0.2219)−7.5100
Montenegro−2.8361*** (0.3518)−8.0600
Poland−1.5388*** (0.2477)−6.2100

Model estimation for the industry effect

CorruptionCoeff. (Std. Err.)zP>|z|
Other0.0385 (0.1409)0.2700.785
Food products−0.1382 (0.1439)−0.9600.337
Textiles0.3672* (0.1912)1.9200.055
Clothing0.1311 (0.1701)0.7700.441
Chemicals0.5306*** (0.1964)2.7000.007
Plastics and rubber−0.0306 (0.2059)−0.1500.882
Mineral products0.3376** (0.1634)2.0700.039
Metals and raw materials−0.0580 (0.3297)−0.1800.860
Metal products0.0288 (0.1669)0.1700.863
Machines and devices0.1393 (0.1485)0.9400.348
Electronics0.2530 (0.2361)1.0700.284
Construction0.3605*** (0.1373)2.6300.009
Wholesale0.1995 (0.1263)1.5800.114
Retail−0.0695 (0.1201)−0.5800.563
Hotels and restaurants−0.1644 (0.1623)−1.0100.311
IT0.3336 (0.2302)1.4500.147

Regression outcomes only for significant variables

CorruptionCoeff. (Std. Err.)zP>|z|
Years on the market0.0062*** (0.0019)3.330.001
Sta_capital−1.2882*** (0.3850)−3.350.001
Time_officials0.5488*** (0.0914)6.010.000
Efficiency0.0232*** (0.0053)4.350.000
Thefts2.8411*** (0.7840)3.360.000
medium_loc−0.1124** (0.0522)−2.150.031
large_loc0.5336 (0.0767)0.700.487
_cons0.5986*** (0.1652)3.620.000
Country effectTAK
Industry effectTAK
Number of observations14470
F-Statistic1831.32
p-value0.0000
pseudo R20.0954

Statistics of macroeconomic variables

VariableNumber of observationsSDMin.Max.
CPI16.56611.60132170
Investments15.4574.72924.231.1
GDP per capita16.5663174.3679630829.5
OECD16.5660.50001

Estimation outcomes for macroeconomic variables

CorruptionCoeff. (Std. Err.)zP>|z|
CPI−0.6106*** (0.0760)−8.030.000
Investments1.0797*** (0.1118)9.660.000
GDP per capita0.0023*** (0.0003)7.750.000
OECD−8.3657*** (1.1951)−7.000.000
_cons13.6031*** (1.7468)7.790.000
Country effectTAK
Industry effectTAK
Number of observations14.830
F-Statistic1664.09
Pseudo R20.0843
p-value0.0000

Descriptive statistics for the country variables

VariableNumber of observationsStd. Dev.Min.Max.
Bulgaria16.5660.131801
Albania16.5660.145801
Croatia16.5660.145801
Belarus16.5660.145801
Georgia16.5660.145801
Tajikistan16.5660.145601
Turkey16.5660.273001
Ukraine16.5660.238401
Uzbekistan16.5660.151601
Russia16.5660.435701
Romania16.5660.177601
Kazakhstan16.5660.186801
Bosnia and Herzegovina16.5660.145801
Azerbaijan16.5660.151601
Macedonia16.5660.145801
Armenia16.5660.145801
Kyrgyzstan16.5660.126601
Estonia16.5660.127301
Czech Republic16.5660.122901
Italy16.5660.135501
Latvia16.5660.141001
Lithuania16.5660.126601
Slovakia16.5660.126201
Slovenia16.5660.126601
Serbia16.5660.145801
Cyprus16.5660.145801
Greece16.5660.138301
Moldova16.5660.145801
Mongolia16.5660.145801
Montenegro16.5660.094701
Poland16.5660.177901
Kosovo16.5660.109801
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