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Conscientiousness and Supreme Court Confirmation Hearings in the Senate Judiciary Committee

Ryan C. Black
Ryan C. Black
, 
Ryan J. Owens
Ryan J. Owens
, 
Justin Wedeking
Justin Wedeking
 und 
Patrick C. Wohlfarth
Patrick C. Wohlfarth
   | 18. Mai 2022
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Online veröffentlicht: 18. Mai 2022
Seitenbereich: 379 - 408
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/bjals-2021-0011
Schlüsselwörter
© 2021 Ryan C. Black et al., published by Sciendo
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

Figure 1

Kavanaugh's Forthcomingness to the Senate Judiciary Committee, by Senator.
Kavanaugh's Forthcomingness to the Senate Judiciary Committee, by Senator.

Figure 2

The Conscientiousness of United States Supreme Court Justices, 1955–2018.
The Conscientiousness of United States Supreme Court Justices, 1955–2018.

Figure 3

Predicted Level of Forthcomingness Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness and Senator Party Affiliation.
Predicted Level of Forthcomingness Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness and Senator Party Affiliation.

Figure 4

Average Marginal Effect of Nominee Conscientiousness, Conditional on Senator Party Affiliation, on Nominee Forthcomingness.
Average Marginal Effect of Nominee Conscientiousness, Conditional on Senator Party Affiliation, on Nominee Forthcomingness.

Figure 5

Average Marginal Effect of Opposite-Party Senator, Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness, on Nominee Forthcomingness.
Average Marginal Effect of Opposite-Party Senator, Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness, on Nominee Forthcomingness.

Figure 6

Predicted Probability of a Favorable Vote Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness and Senator Party Affiliation.
Predicted Probability of a Favorable Vote Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness and Senator Party Affiliation.

Figure 7

Average Marginal Effect of Nominee Conscientiousness, Conditional on Senator Party Affiliation, on Senator Support in Committee.
Average Marginal Effect of Nominee Conscientiousness, Conditional on Senator Party Affiliation, on Senator Support in Committee.

Figure 8

Average Marginal Effect of Senator Party Affiliation, Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness, on Senator Support in Committee.
Average Marginal Effect of Senator Party Affiliation, Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness, on Senator Support in Committee.

Figure 9

Predicted Probability of a Favorable Senator Vote Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness and Qualifications
Predicted Probability of a Favorable Senator Vote Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness and Qualifications

Figure 10

Average Marginal Effect of Nominee Conscientiousness, Conditional on Nominee Qualifications, on Senator Support in Committee
Average Marginal Effect of Nominee Conscientiousness, Conditional on Nominee Qualifications, on Senator Support in Committee

Figure 11

Average Marginal Effect of Nominee Qualifications, Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness, on Senator Support in Committee.
Average Marginal Effect of Nominee Qualifications, Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness, on Senator Support in Committee.

Figure 12

Average Marginal Effect of Senator Party Affiliation, Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness, on Nominee Forthcomingness – Simulation for Failed Nominees.
Average Marginal Effect of Senator Party Affiliation, Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness, on Nominee Forthcomingness – Simulation for Failed Nominees.

Figure 13

Average Marginal Effect of Senator Party Affiliation, Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness, on Senator Support in Committee – Simulation for Failed Nominees.
Average Marginal Effect of Senator Party Affiliation, Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness, on Senator Support in Committee – Simulation for Failed Nominees.

Figure 14

Average Marginal Effect of Nominee Qualifications, Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness, on Senator Support in Committee – Simulation for Failed Nominees.
Average Marginal Effect of Nominee Qualifications, Conditional on Nominee Conscientiousness, on Senator Support in Committee – Simulation for Failed Nominees.

The Conditional Impact of Supreme Court Nominee Conscientiousness and Senator Party Affiliation on Forthcomingness to Hearing Questions.

Predictor Nominee Forthcomingness
Percentage Questions on Views −.007* (.003)
Percentage Questions on Civil Liberties −.008* (.003)
Ideological Distance: Senator-Nominee −.489* (.287)
Time Trend .085* (.037)
Time Trend Squared −.002* (.001)
Number of Questions −.002+ (.002)
Divided Government .688* (.189)
Qualifications .660* (.271)
Nominee different party than senator −.563* (.193)
Conscientiousness .255* (.109)
Conscientiousness X Nominee different party −.315* (.135)
Openness to Experience −.117* (.070)
Extraversion .009 (.072)
Agreeableness −.241* (.129)
Neuroticism −.040 (.105)
Constant .850* (.430)

The Conditional Impact of Nominee Conscientiousness with Senator Party Affiliation and Nominee Qualifications on Senators’ Votes in Committee.

Predictor Senator Vote
Nominee Responsiveness .043* (.009)
Number of questions −.036* (.008)
Ideological Distance: Senator-Nominee −4.047* (1.382)
Divided Government 1.025* (.482)
Television Era 2.138* (.891)
Interest group support .085* (.027)
Conscientiousness 3.921* (1.541)
Nominee Different Party −5.604+ (3.599)
Conscientiousness X Nominee Different Party −1.835 (1.626)
Qualifications 4.398* (1.7049)
Conscientiousness X Qualifications −3.113* (1.163)
Openness to Experience −.016 (.285)
Extraversion .115 (.287)
Agreeableness .279 (.278)
Neuroticism .762* (.286)
Constant 1.348 (3.712)
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