Modelling of Equipment Failure Rate Accounting for the Uncertainty

A fuzzy model for failure rate with the consideration of the effects of uncertain factors in distribution reliability evaluation is presented. The possibility and credibility distribution analyzed on the basis of sample datum are used for quantifying effects of the uncertainty done to failure rate. Mathematically, the failure rate can be obtained in the interval integration. Moreover, aiming to make the calculating quantity of system reliability evaluation simple and easy, the fuzzy clustering analysis of equipment is adopted. The technique proposed has been implemented in an example distribution system for illustration and the results obtained have been compared with those obtained with average model.