Uneingeschränkter Zugang

Multi-Annual Variations in the Heat Load of Poland

  
06. Sept. 2024

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COVER HERUNTERLADEN

Fig. 1.

Location of stations in Poland used in the study.
Location of stations in Poland used in the study.

Fig. 2.

Median, lower and upper quartiles and average minimum and maximum Universal Thermal Climate Index at 12:00 UTC in Kołobrzeg, Poznań and Kraków (1951–2020).
Median, lower and upper quartiles and average minimum and maximum Universal Thermal Climate Index at 12:00 UTC in Kołobrzeg, Poznań and Kraków (1951–2020).

Fig. 3.

Frequency of thermal stress based on the Universal Thermal Climate Index at 12:00 UTC in successive months recorded in Kołobrzeg, Poznań and Kraków (1951–2020). Legend: <−40 (extreme cold stress) −40 to −27 (very cold stress) −27 to −13 (strong cold stress)−13.0 to 0.0 (moderate cold stress)0.0 to 9.0 (slight cold stress) 9.0 to 26.0 (no thermal stress) 26.0 to 32.0 (moderate heat stress) 32.0 to 38.0 (strong heat stress) 38.0 to 46.0 (very strong heat stress).
Frequency of thermal stress based on the Universal Thermal Climate Index at 12:00 UTC in successive months recorded in Kołobrzeg, Poznań and Kraków (1951–2020). Legend: <−40 (extreme cold stress) −40 to −27 (very cold stress) −27 to −13 (strong cold stress)−13.0 to 0.0 (moderate cold stress)0.0 to 9.0 (slight cold stress) 9.0 to 26.0 (no thermal stress) 26.0 to 32.0 (moderate heat stress) 32.0 to 38.0 (strong heat stress) 38.0 to 46.0 (very strong heat stress).

Fig. 4.

Multi-annual curve of the minimum and maximum values, lower quartile (Q1) and upper quartile (Q3) and the trend line of the Universal Thermal Climate Index at 12:00 UTC in Kołobrzeg, Poznań and Kraków (1951–2020).
Multi-annual curve of the minimum and maximum values, lower quartile (Q1) and upper quartile (Q3) and the trend line of the Universal Thermal Climate Index at 12:00 UTC in Kołobrzeg, Poznań and Kraków (1951–2020).

Fig. 5.

Multi-annual thermal stress curve at 12:00 UTC including trend line, based on the Universal Thermal Climate Index in Kołobrzeg, Poznań and Kraków (1951–2020).
Multi-annual thermal stress curve at 12:00 UTC including trend line, based on the Universal Thermal Climate Index in Kołobrzeg, Poznań and Kraków (1951–2020).

Annual and monthly values making the multi-annual trend (1951–2020) and 10-year Universal Thermal Climate Index measured at 12:00 UTC in Kołobrzeg, Poznań and Kraków_ Values with a statistical significance level of 0_05 are marked in bold type_

City Kołobrzeg Poznań Kraków
Month 1951–2020 per 10 years 1951–2020 per 10 years 1951–2020 per 10 years
1 5.4 0.8 4.8 0.7 3.6 0.5
2 6.6 0.9 5.3 0.8 6.8 1.0
3 7.3 1.0 6.6 0.9 7.0 1.0
4 6.1 0.9 7.6 1.1 5.9 0.8
5 5.8 0.8 5.1 0.7 5.3 0.8
6 3.9 0.6 2.2 0.3 3.9 0.6
7 4.3 0.6 4.7 0.7 4.5 0.6
8 5.2 0.7 5.2 0.7 4.8 0.7
9 4.0 0.6 2.1 0.3 1.9 0.3
10 3.5 0.5 1.6 0.2 2.5 0.4
11 5.6 0.8 4.4 0.6 3.8 0.5
12 4.3 0.6 3.2 0.5 2.8 0.4
year 5.2 0.7 4.4 0.6 4.4 0.6

Thermal stress categories based on the Universal Thermal Climate Index (Błażejczyk et al_ 2010)_

UTCI (°C) Stress category and recommendations for protection
> 46.0 extreme heat stress, periodical cooling and drinking > 0.5 l • h–1 necessary, stay without activity
38.1 to 46.0 very strong heat stress, periodical use of air conditioning or shaded sites and drinking > 0.5 l • h–1 necessary, reduce activity
32.1 to 38.0 strong heat stress, drinking> 0.25 l • h–1 necessary, use shade places and reduce activity
26.1 to 32.0 moderate heat stress, drinking> 0.25 l • h–1 necessary
9.1 to 26.0 no thermal stress, physiological thermoregulation sufficient to keep comfort
0.1 to 9.0 slight cold stress, use gloves and cap
−13.0 to 0.0 moderate cold stress, increase activity, protect extremities and face against cooling
−27.0 to −12.9 strong cold stress, strongly increase activity, protect face and extremities, use better insulated clothing
−40.0 to −26.9 very strong cold stress, strongly increase activity, protect face and extremities, use better insulated clothing, reduce stay outdoor
< −40.0 extreme cold stress, stay in door or use heavy, wind protected clothing

Annual and monthly linear trend values recorded at 12:00 UTC for the frequency of respective types of thermal stress in Kołobrzeg, Poznań and Kraków (1951–2020)_ Values with a statistical significance level 0_05 are marked in bold type_

Month Extreme, very strong and strong cold stress Moderate and slight cold stress No thermal stress Moderate heat stress Strong and very strong heat stress
Kołobrzeg
1 −30.7 30.9 2 cases
2 −33.4 32.3 1.1
3 −27.0 21.9 5.2
4 −8.4 −14.5 22.3 0.4 1 case
5 −1.1 −29.1 26.6 3.3 0.3
6 −12.8 5.8 5.3 1.7
7 −6.7 −11.8 15.5 2.9
8 −11.3 −7.2 14.6 3.9
9 3 cases −17.4 13.7 4.4 −0.4
10 −0.6 −17.6 18.7 −0.5
11 −14.4 9.2 5.2
12 −18.3 18.7 −0.4
year −11.1 0.1 6.5 3.6 0.8
Poznań
1 −26.4 26.0 0.4
2 −28.8 28.3 0.4
3 −29.8 24.1 5.8
4 −12.3 −9.8 21.4 0.8 1 case
5 −1.3 −19.5 16.9 3.9 0.2
6 −9.1 5.2 −1.3 5.3
7 −12.7 −1.3 8.0 6.0
8 −14.3 −4.1 13.9 4.5
9 1 case −11.6 13.0 −0.7 −0.6
10 −1.4 0.9 0.7 −0.3
11 −13.9 10.5 3.4
12 −20.9 20.9 0.0
year −11.2 2.7 5.1 2.1 1.3
Kraków
1 −13.8 11.5 2.3
2 −21.9 12.5 9.5
3 −17.0 3.8 13.4 −0.2
4 −1.8 −20.1 17.6 4.0 0.4
5 −20.1 5.2 11.4 3.5
6 −7.9 −10.6 9.0 9.5
7 −3.9 −19.1 7.2 15.8
8 −2.4 −22.8 4.9 20.3
9 −7.9 2.5 6.4 −1.0
10 −0.6 −5.8 0.5 6.0
11 −4.5 −7.7 12.3 1 case
12 −9.8 5.6 4.2
year −5.7 −3.6 1.1 4.1 4.1
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