<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>Safety of aircrafts exploitation is estimated by means of the using the results of the prognoses of the dangerous factors which could be take place during the flight in the off-design conditions. The risk - approach, based on the fuzzy sets methods, is discussed and find out the paths leading to the catastrophes of the different types of the vessels. The dangerous (Unsafeness, Hazard) is the discrete state with the factors which could be take place during the flight in the off-design conditions. It was suggested to find out the paths leading to the catastrophes under condition of the rare events with probabilities “almost zero”.</p></abstract>

Safety of aircrafts exploitation is estimated by means of the using the results of the prognoses of the dangerous factors which could be take place during the flight in the off-design conditions. The risk - approach, based on the fuzzy sets methods, is discussed and find out the paths leading to the catastrophes of the different types of the vessels. The dangerous (Unsafeness, Hazard) is the discrete state with the factors which could be take place during the flight in the off-design conditions. It was suggested to find out the paths leading to the catastrophes under condition of the rare events with probabilities “almost zero”.

Accident Risk Assessment for Highly Reliable Aviation Systems in Emergency Situations

St. Petersburg State University of Civil Aviation

Transport and Telecommunication Journal

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

Safety of aircrafts exploitation is estimated by means of the using the results of the prognoses of the dangerous factors which could be take place during the...

Accident Risk Assessment for Highly Reliable Aviation Systems in Emergency Situations

Published Online: Feb 20, 2018

Page range: 59 - 63

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/ttj-2018-0006

Keywords
rare events, risk, civil aviation, flight safety, fuzzy sets

© 2018 Transport and Telecommunication Institute

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

Accident Risk Assessment for Highly Reliable Aviation Systems in Emergency Situations

Published Online: Feb 20, 2018

Page range: 59 - 63

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/ttj-2018-0006

Keywordsrare events, risk, civil aviation, flight safety, fuzzy sets

© 2018 Transport and Telecommunication Institute

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

Keywords
rare events, risk, civil aviation, flight safety, fuzzy sets