1. bookVolume 21 (2021): Issue 3 (September 2021)
Journal Details
First Published
19 Feb 2010
Publication timeframe
4 times per year
access type Open Access

Measuring monetary policy by money supply and interest rate: evidence from emerging economies

Published Online: 17 Sep 2021
Page range: 347 - 367
Received: 25 May 2020
Accepted: 30 Jun 2021
Journal Details
First Published
19 Feb 2010
Publication timeframe
4 times per year

Although measuring monetary policy is a contentious issue in the literature, much less evidence on this issue is available for emerging economies. This paper aims to investigate the role of interest rate and money supply in measuring monetary policy in twelve emerging economies that target inflation through the analysis of Granger causality, impulse response function, and forecast error variance decomposition. The empirical results show that both money supply and interest rate are useful predictors for changes in inflation. Moreover, both show a comparable power to explain the variation of inflation. However, a rise in interest rate increases rather than decreases inflation, whereas money supply has a positive and expected effect on inflation. These findings suggest that interest rate may not fully capture the overall stance of monetary policy or interest rate has a limited effect on inflation.


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