<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">

<p>Voting behaviour is affected by various factors and the effect varies in individual countries. Economic and geographic factors are among the major criteria taken into account in electorate segmentation. The present study analyses them in the case of the Polish presidential election in 2020, held under the circumstances of strong polarisation within the society and controversies surrounding the rule-of-law and democratic standards. The present study analyses voter turnout and results of the second round of the election, focusing on the subregional level of poviats (counties). The analysis considers macroeconomic factors (such as GDP per capita, unemployment rate, average remuneration), financial condition of the local government (measured by budgetary revenues) and urbanisation (comparing the biggest cities to other counties). The findings confirm correlation between the macroeconomic parameters of the subregion and voter turnout. In the case of voting results, the hypotheses concerning macroeconomic parameters and the status of the biggest cities are confirmed, but there’s no evidence of correlation of the average remuneration on the poviat level and support for the centre-liberal candidate.</p>
</abstract>

Voting behaviour is affected by various factors and the effect varies in individual countries. Economic and geographic factors are among the major criteria taken into account in electorate segmentation. The present study analyses them in the case of the Polish presidential election in 2020, held under the circumstances of strong polarisation within the society and controversies surrounding the rule-of-law and democratic standards. The present study analyses voter turnout and results of the second round of the election, focusing on the subregional level of poviats (counties). The analysis considers macroeconomic factors (such as GDP per capita, unemployment rate, average remuneration), financial condition of the local government (measured by budgetary revenues) and urbanisation (comparing the biggest cities to other counties). The findings confirm correlation between the macroeconomic parameters of the subregion and voter turnout. In the case of voting results, the hypotheses concerning macroeconomic parameters and the status of the biggest cities are confirmed, but there’s no evidence of correlation of the average remuneration on the poviat level and support for the centre-liberal candidate.

Economic Parameters vs Voting Behaviour in the Polish Presidential Election in 2020: Poviat level analysis

Politics in Central Europe

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Voting behaviour is affected by various factors and the effect varies in individual countries. Economic and geographic factors are among the major criteria...

Economic Parameters vs Voting Behaviour in the Polish Presidential Election in 2020: Poviat level analysis

Published Online: Sep 28, 2023

Page range: 571 - 591

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/pce-2023-0027

Keywords
Poland, elections, segmentation, economic determinants, poviat, voting behaviour

© 2023 Małgorzata Madej, published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Economic Parameters vs Voting Behaviour in the Polish Presidential Election in 2020: Poviat level analysis

Published Online: Sep 28, 2023

Page range: 571 - 591

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/pce-2023-0027

KeywordsPoland, elections, segmentation, economic determinants, poviat, voting behaviour

© 2023 Małgorzata Madej, published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Keywords
Poland, elections, segmentation, economic determinants, poviat, voting behaviour