<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">

<p>Global climate change and, specifically, rising temperatures, may increase the number of generations of necrophagous insects. The common green bottle fly <italic>Lucilia sericata</italic> (Meigen, 1826) (Diptera, Calliphoridae) ranks among the most important cosmopolitan necrophagous insects that utilize corpses and cause myiasis in farm animals and humans. Based on the data simulations, the use of accumulated degree-hours enables to calculate the number of generations of this forensically important species of blowfly with a greater accuracy than before, considering short-term increases of temperature at the boundary of the cold and warm seasons. The number of generations of <italic>L. sericata</italic> has increased from 7.65 to 8.46 in the Ukrainian steppe zone over the last 15 years, while the active developmental period of this species has increased by 25 days due to earlier start in spring. The average temperature increase of 1 °C increased the number of generations of <italic>L. sericata</italic> by 0.85. With a global climate change following the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 scenario (average temperature increase of 2.4 °C), adopted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, by 2100 the number of generations of <italic>L. sericata</italic> in a simulated ecosystem will increase by 2.0 to 9.0 generations per year.</p>
</abstract>

Global climate change and, specifically, rising temperatures, may increase the number of generations of necrophagous insects. The common green bottle fly Lucilia sericata (Meigen, 1826) (Diptera, Calliphoridae) ranks among the most important cosmopolitan necrophagous insects that utilize corpses and cause myiasis in farm animals and humans. Based on the data simulations, the use of accumulated degree-hours enables to calculate the number of generations of this forensically important species of blowfly with a greater accuracy than before, considering short-term increases of temperature at the boundary of the cold and warm seasons. The number of generations of L. sericata has increased from 7.65 to 8.46 in the Ukrainian steppe zone over the last 15 years, while the active developmental period of this species has increased by 25 days due to earlier start in spring. The average temperature increase of 1 °C increased the number of generations of L. sericata by 0.85. With a global climate change following the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 scenario (average temperature increase of 2.4 °C), adopted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, by 2100 the number of generations of L. sericata in a simulated ecosystem will increase by 2.0 to 9.0 generations per year.

Effect of increased ambient temperature on seasonal generation number in <italic>Lucilia sericata</italic> (Diptera, Calliphoridae)

Folia Oecologica

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Effect of increased ambient temperature on seasonal generation number in  (Diptera, Calliphoridae)

Global climate change and, specifically, rising temperatures, may increase the number of generations of necrophagous insects. The common green bottle fly...

Effect of increased ambient temperature on seasonal generation number in Lucilia sericata (Diptera, Calliphoridae)

Published Online: Jul 31, 2021

Page range: 191 - 198

Received: Mar 07, 2021

Accepted: Jun 16, 2021

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/foecol-2021-0019

Keywords
blowly, climate change, forensic entomology, generations, model, post-mortem interval

© 2021 Maksym V. Makaida et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Effect of increased ambient temperature on seasonal generation number in Lucilia sericata (Diptera, Calliphoridae)

Published Online: Jul 31, 2021

Page range: 191 - 198

Received: Mar 07, 2021

Accepted: Jun 16, 2021

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/foecol-2021-0019

Keywordsblowly, climate change, forensic entomology, generations, model, post-mortem interval

© 2021 Maksym V. Makaida et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Keywords
blowly, climate change, forensic entomology, generations, model, post-mortem interval