<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">

<p>The literature indicates that exchange rates are largely unforecastable from the fact that the overwhelming majority of studies have employed linear models in forecasting exchange rates. In this paper, we applied Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBFNN) to predict exchange rate, motived by the fact that RBFNN have the ability to implicitly detect complex nonlinear relationships between dependent and independent variables as it “learns” the relationship inherent in the exchange rate data presented to it. The model learning algorithm uses a diverse data set for training so as to adapt itself quickly for new exchange rate data. We apply the RBFNN to panel data of the exchange rates (USD/EUR, JPN/USD, USD/GBP, USD/CHY) are examined and optimized to be used for time-series predictions, some experiments testified the proposed method is effective and feasible.</p>
</abstract>

The literature indicates that exchange rates are largely unforecastable from the fact that the overwhelming majority of studies have employed linear models in forecasting exchange rates. In this paper, we applied Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBFNN) to predict exchange rate, motived by the fact that RBFNN have the ability to implicitly detect complex nonlinear relationships between dependent and independent variables as it “learns” the relationship inherent in the exchange rate data presented to it. The model learning algorithm uses a diverse data set for training so as to adapt itself quickly for new exchange rate data. We apply the RBFNN to panel data of the exchange rates (USD/EUR, JPN/USD, USD/GBP, USD/CHY) are examined and optimized to be used for time-series predictions, some experiments testified the proposed method is effective and feasible.

APPLICATION OF RADIAL BASIS FUNCTION NEURAL NETWORK TO PREDICT EXCHANGE RATE WITH FINANCIAL TIME SERIES

National Kaohsiung University of Applied Science

International Journal on Smart Sensing and Intelligent Systems

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

The literature indicates that exchange rates are largely unforecastable from the fact that the overwhelming majority of studies have employed linear models in...

APPLICATION OF RADIAL BASIS FUNCTION NEURAL NETWORK TO PREDICT EXCHANGE RATE WITH FINANCIAL TIME SERIES

Published Online: Jun 01, 2017

Page range: 1 - 19

Received: Feb 04, 2017

Accepted: Apr 15, 2017

DOI: https://doi.org/10.21307/ijssis-2017-213

Keywords
RBFNN, Exchange Rate Prediction, financial time series

© 2017 AI SUN et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

APPLICATION OF RADIAL BASIS FUNCTION NEURAL NETWORK TO PREDICT EXCHANGE RATE WITH FINANCIAL TIME SERIES

Published Online: Jun 01, 2017

Page range: 1 - 19

Received: Feb 04, 2017

Accepted: Apr 15, 2017

DOI: https://doi.org/10.21307/ijssis-2017-213

KeywordsRBFNN, Exchange Rate Prediction, financial time series

© 2017 AI SUN et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Keywords
RBFNN, Exchange Rate Prediction, financial time series