<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p> Default risk assessment is crucial in the banking activity. Different models were developed in the literature using the discriminant analysis, logistic regression and data mining techniques. In this paper the logistic regression was applied to verify models proposed by R. Jagiełło for different sectors. As an alternative, the logistic regression model with the nominal variable SECTOR was applied on the pooled sample of enterprises. The dynamic approach using the Cox regression survival model was estimated. Including the nominal variable SECTOR only slightly increases the predictive power of the model (in the case of “defaults”). The predictive power of the Cox regression model is lower, the only advantage is the higher accuracy classification in the case of “defaulted” enterprises.</p></abstract>

Default risk assessment is crucial in the banking activity. Different models were developed in the literature using the discriminant analysis, logistic regression and data mining techniques. In this paper the logistic regression was applied to verify models proposed by R. Jagiełło for different sectors. As an alternative, the logistic regression model with the nominal variable SECTOR was applied on the pooled sample of enterprises. The dynamic approach using the Cox regression survival model was estimated. Including the nominal variable SECTOR only slightly increases the predictive power of the model (in the case of “defaults”). The predictive power of the Cox regression model is lower, the only advantage is the higher accuracy classification in the case of “defaulted” enterprises.

Statistical Models in Enterprises Default Risk Assessment – an Example of Application

Econometrics

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

Default risk assessment is crucial in the banking activity. Different models were developed in the literature using the discriminant analysis, logistic...

Statistical Models in Enterprises Default Risk Assessment – an Example of Application

Published Online: Mar 23, 2018

Page range: 94 - 106

DOI: https://doi.org/10.15611/eada.2018.1.07

Keywords
default risk, logistic regression, Cox model

© 2018

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

Statistical Models in Enterprises Default Risk Assessment – an Example of Application

Published Online: Mar 23, 2018

Page range: 94 - 106

DOI: https://doi.org/10.15611/eada.2018.1.07

Keywordsdefault risk, logistic regression, Cox model

© 2018

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

Keywords
default risk, logistic regression, Cox model