Tobacco use continues to be the leading global cause of preventable death. It kills nearly 6 million people annually, and it causes hundreds of billions of dollars in economic damage worldwide. Most of these deaths occur in low and middle-income countries, and this trend is expected to widen further over the next several decades.If current trends continue, by 2030, tobacco will kill more than 8 million people worldwide each year (1). Smoking increases the risk of heart disease, cancer, stroke, and chronic lung disease. Environmental tobacco smoke has been demonstrated to increase the risk of heart disease and cancer among non-smokers. It has also been shown that non-smokers exposed to second hand smoke have a 25% to 35% increased risk of suffering acute coronary diseases, and increased frequency of chronic respiratory conditions (2). Cessations of smoking by current smokers reduce their risk of heart disease, cancer, stroke, and respiratory disease (3).
Tobacco use prevalence in Europe is characterized by large disparities, with Western nations reporting smoking rates generally below 25%, while Eastern nations have smoking rates usually above 30% (4). In total, in the European region, 45% of males and 24% females over 15 years old are smokers (5). Kosova is a country with some specifics, for example, Kosova’s economic performance at the last assessment was evaluated as relatively weak as compared to Southeastern Europe. Kosova’s economy would need to grow 10% to 12% per annum respectively for the next ten years to reach Albania’s and Montenegro’s income level (6). The total population in Kosova according to the census of 2011 is 1,739,825 inhabitants (7), Birth rate 15.7‰ and Total Mortality 3.2‰. The mean age of population is estimated to be 30.2 years and life expectancy at birth is 76.7 years: 79.4 years for females and 74.1 for males. In the years 2012 and 2013 the number one cause of death in Kosova were circulatory system diseases and the number two cause were neoplasm’s(8). Due to lack of law on statistics and weak implementation of the health law as well as relevant existing by laws, health information flow remains fragmented and weak. Until recently, no reliable epidemiological data were available on the prevalence of smoking in Kosova adults. A study with school children (9) and first year medical students was available (10). In 2011 Kosova conducted the European School Survey Project on Alcohol and Other Drugs (ESPAD) on 15-16 years old school children (11). As this is the first representative population survey conducted in Kosova findings from this survey will help policymakers to develop future public health programmes and interventions. The overall objective of the study is to describe and analyze the smoking behaviors of adults in Kosova.
A population-based survey for non-communicable diseases risk factors started in September 2010 by adopting the World Health Organization (WHO) STEPs Instrument (12), and the data collection was completed in March 2011.At that time the census of population in Kosova wasn’t conducted, therefore the data for households according to the settlements from Statistical Agency of Kosova for 2008 were used (13), in total seven regions, 30 municipalities and 1464 settlements. The two-stage cluster random sampling was designed. Firstly, 120 enumeration areas were selected using probability proportional to size as the primary sampling units, followed by randomly selecting households from them as the secondary sampling units, using the proportion of households in urban and rural areas. Respondents aged 15-64 years old were selected randomly within each gender and 10-year age-group. One resident aged 15 to 64 years within each of the households was recruited for the survey using the Kish method, which provides tool for random selection of one individual from a household (12). The total sample size consisted of 6,400 men and women. The following assumptions for this crosssectional study were used for sample size calculation:level of confidence 95%, margin of error 5%, baseline level of risk factors 50%, expected response rate 90% and the design effect of 1.5.
The WHO STEPs module is recommended for use on adults in the age group 25-64 years (12). The age group of 15-24 years, which is the optional age group in STEPs, were included in this study because according to the existing data, Kosova has a high percentage of young people in it’s population (around 19.3% of population are in this age group) (7).
STEPs is a sequential process with three steps. Step 1 includes assessment of smoking behaviors, alcohol consumption, physical activity, and fruit and vegetable intake using a structured questionnaire. Step 2 includes physical measurements, i.e. weight, height, waist circumference, hip circumference, blood pressure and heart rate measurements. Step 3 includes blood sampling and blood sugar and cholesterol examination. In this study we present only data of smoking behavior from Step 1 and answers on the core questions: Do you currently smoke any tobacco products, such as cigarettes, cigars or pipes? Do you currently smoke tobacco products daily? How old were you when you first started smoking daily? On average, how many of the following (manufactured cigarettes; Hand-rolled cigarettes; Pipes full of tobacco;Cigars, cheroots, cigarillos) do you smoke each day? Current smokers were defined as persons who reported smoking any tobacco products, such as cigarettes, cigars, or pipes daily or non-daily irrespective of the quantity and current daily smokers if they smoked ≥1 cigarette per day (12).
Statistical analysis was undertaken using SPSS version 22.0. As age and sex are strong determinants of smoking, descriptive results were presented for men and women separately and stratified by age group. Data are presented as percentage and 95% confidence interval. Chi-square test or Fisher exact test was performed to test the differences in proportions of qualitative variables between groups, Mann Whitney U test for testing the difference between quantitative variables when distribution was not normal and Student t-test when distribution was normal. The level P<0.05 was considered as statistically significant.
Out of 6,400 persons planned for research, 6,117 were included, which is approximately 95.6%. The response rate was slightly higher among females 96.5% compared with males 94.6%. The response rate has been higher among 15-24-year-old participants with 99.2% (Table 1). Of the total respondents, 49.5 % were men. Four in ten of them had primary or lower education (from one to eight years of education). 64.7% were currently married. The mean number of family members more than 18 years old, excluding a responder, was 4.7 (Table 2).
Response proportions by gender.Age Group (Year) Men Women Both Sexes Eligible Responded Eligible Responded Eligible Responded n n % N n % N n % 15-24 640 633 98.9 640 637 99.5 1280 1270 99.2 25-34 640 603 94.2 640 607 94.8 1280 1210 94.5 35-44 640 594 92.8 640 610 95.3 1280 1204 94.1 45-54 640 624 97.5 640 607 94.8 1280 1231 96.2 55-64 640 594 92.8 640 608 95.0 1280 1202 93.9 15-64 3200 3028 94.6 3200 3089 96.5 6400 6117 95.6 25-64 2560 2415 94.3 2560 2432 95.0 5120 4847 94.7
Distribution of the sample by gender, age, education, marital status and number of family members - Kosova STEPS survey 2011.N % Gender Male 3028 49.5 Female 3089 50.5 Age - group (year) 15-24 1270 20.8 25-34 1210 19.8 35-44 1204 19.7 45-54 1231 20.1 55-64 1202 19.7 Education Primary or less 2438 39.9 Secondary 2345 38.3 Tertiary 1334 21.8 Marital status Never married 1912 31.3 Currently married 3960 64.7 Separated 14 0.2 Divorced 19 0.3 Widowed 163 2.7 Cohabitating 19 0.3 No answer 30 0.5 Nr. of family member more than 18 years except you Mean±SD 4.7±2.4
In the age group 15-64 years old the prevalence of smoking was 28.4%. Prevalence of smoking was higher among men 37.4% compared with women 19.7%, with significant difference (P<0.001). In all age groups, the prevalence of smoking was higher among men compared to women. Prevalence of smoking increases with age. After the age of 45 it falls gradually, probably due to starting quitting smoking for health reasons, and this trend of prevalence is noticed in both sexes (Table 3).
Percentage of current smokers by gender - Kosova STEPS survey 2011. Chi-square test or Fisher exact testPercentage of current smokers Men Women Both Sexes Current smoker Current smoker Current smoker Age Group (years) n n % (95% CI) n n % (95% CI) n n % (95% CI) P-value 15-24 633 127 20.7 637 76 11.6 1270 203 16.0 0.000 (17.7 - 24.1) (9.3 - 14.6) (14.1 -18.1) 25-34 603 255 42.3 607 131 21.6 1210 386 31.9 0.000 (38.4 - 46.3) (18.5 - 20.5) (29.3 -34.6 35-44 594 290 48.8 610 154 25.2 1204 444 36.9 0.000 (44.8 - 52.8) (22.0 - 28.8) (34.2 - 39.6) 45-54 624 254 40.7 607 139 22.9 1231 393 31.9 0.000 (36.8 - 44.6) (19.7 - 26.1) (29.4 - 34.6) 55-64 594 205 34.5 608 109 17.9 1202 314 26.1 0.000 (30.7 - 38.3) (15.1 - 21.2) (23.7 - 28.7) 1131 609 0.000 2415 1004 41.6 2432 533 21.9 4847 1537 31.7 0.000 (39.6 - 43.6%) (20.3 - 23.6%) (30.4 - 33.0%)
Among the current smokers of ages 15 – 64, current daily smokers were 90.1%. The rate of current daily smokers among men was 94.2% compared to women 82.4%. The lowest prevalence of daily smoking is recorded in the age-group 15-24 years with 82.8%. In all age-groups the daily smoking prevalence was higher among men compared with women (Table 4).
Current daily smokers among current smokers - Kosova STEPS survey 2011. Chi-square test or Fisher exact testPercentage of current smokers Men Women Both Sexes Current Current daily smokers Current Current daily smokers Current Current daily smokers Age Group (years) smoker (n) n % (95% CI) smoker (n) n % (95% CI) smoker (n) n % (95% CI) P-value 15-24 127 114 89.8 76 54 71.1 203 168 82.8 0.001 (83.3 - 93.9) (60.0 - 80.0) (77.0 - 87.3) 25-34 255 243 95.3 131 115 87.8 386 358 92.7 0.013 (92.0 - 97.3) (81.1 - 92.3) (89.7 - 94.9) 35-44 290 273 94.1 154 130 84.4 444 403 90.8 0.001 (90.8 - 96.3) (77.9 -89.3) (87.7 - 93.1) 45-54 254 240 94.5 139 113 81.3 393 353 89.8 0.000 (91.0 - 96.7) (74.0 - 86.9) (86.4 - 92.4) 55-64 205 195 95.1 109 90 82.6 314 285 90.8 0.001 (91.3 - 97.3) (74.4 - 88.5) (87.1 - 93.5) 15-64 1131 1065 94.2 609 502 82.4 1740 1567 90.1 0.000 (92.6 - 95.4) (79.2 - 85.2) (88.6 - 91.4) 25-64 1004 951 94.7 533 448 84.1 1537 1399 91.0 0.000 (93.2 - 95.9) (80.7 - 86.9) (89.5 -92.4)
The mean age of starting smoking was 20.9 years. Among men the mean was 19.7 years, while among women the mean was 23.4 years, with significant difference (P<0.001), (Table 5).
Mean age of starting smoking by gender – Kosova STEPS survey 2011. *Mann Whitney U test or Student t-testPercentage of current smokers Men Women Both Sexes Age Group (years) n Mean age (95% CI) n Mean age (95% CI) n Mean age (95% CI) P-value 15-24 114 16.2 54 17.4 168 16.6 0.003 (15.7 - 16.7) (16.8 - 18.0) (16.2 - 17.0) 25-34 243 18.2 115 19.4 358 18.6 0.002 (17.7 - 18.7) (18.5 - 20.3) (18.1 - 19.0) 35-44 273 19.6 130 22.3 403 20.5 0.000 (19.0 - 20.3) (21.1 - 23.5) (19.9 - 21.1) 45-54 240 21.0 113 25.5 353 22.4 0.000 (20.0 - 21.9) (23.8 - 27.1) (21.5 - 23.3) 55-64 195 22.1 90 31.2 285 25.0 0.000 (20.9 - 23.4) (28.8 - 33.6) (23.8 - 26.2) 15-64 1065 19.7 502 23.4 1567 20.9 0.000 (19.3 - 20.1) (22.6 - 24.2) (20.5 - 21.3) 25-64 951 20.1 448 24.1 1399 21.4 0.000 (19.7 - 20.5) (23.3 - 24.9) (21.0 - 21.8)
Among the daily smokers aged 15-64 years, 93.6% smoke manufactured cigarettes, men 92.7% and women 95.6% (Table 6).
Manufactured cigarette smokers among daily smokers by gender - Kosova STEPS survey 2011. Chi-square test or Fisher exact testManufactured cigarette smokers among daily smokers Men Women Both Sexes Daily smokers Manufactured cigarette smokers Daily smokers Manufactured cigarette smokers Daily smokers Manufactured cigarette smokers Age Group (years) (n) n % (95% CI) (n) n % (95% CI) (n) n % (95% CI) P-value 15-24 114 108 94.7 54 53 98.1 168 161 95.8 0.431 (89.0 -97.6) (90.2 - 98.1) (91.7 - 98.0) 25-34 243 224 92.2 115 107 93.0 358 331 92.5 0.833 (88.1 - 94.9) (86.9 - 96.4) (89.2 - 94.8) 35-44 273 255 93.4 130 124 95.4 403 379 94.0 0.506 (89.8 - 95.8) (90.3 - 97.9) (91.3 - 96.0) 45-54 240 222 92.5 113 110 97.3 353 332 94.1 0.090 (88.5 - 95.2) (92.5 - 99.1) (91.1 - 96.1) 55-64 195 178 91.3 90 86 95.6 285 264 92.5 0.232 (86.5 - 94.5) (89.1 - 98.3) (89.0 - 95.1) 15-64 1065 987 92.7 502 480 95.6 1567 1467 93.6 0.026 (91.0 -94.1) (93.5 - 97.1) (92.3 - 94.7) 25-64 951 879 92.4 448 427 95.3 1399 1306 93.4 0.050 (90.6 - 93.9) (92.9 -96.9) (91.9 - 94.5)
The mean amount of manufactured cigarettes smoked during the day by smokers aged 15-64 years was 20.9 cigarettes, in men 23.9 cigarettes and in women 14.7 cigarettes. In all age groups men smoke more than women (P<0.0001), (Table 7).
Mean amount of manufactured cigarettes used by daily smokers by gender - Kosova STEPS survey 2011. Mann Whitney U test or Student t-testMean amount of manufactures cigaretes used by daily smokers Men Women Both Sexes Age Group (years) n Mean age (95% CI) n Mean age (95% CI) n Mean age (95% CI) P-value 15-24 108 18.4 53 12.9 161 16.6 0.000 (16.9 - 19.9) (10.8 - 14.9) (15.3 - 17.8) 25-34 224 21.6 107 11.9 331 18.4 0.000 (20.3 - 22.8) (10.6 - 13.2) (17.4 - 19.5) 35-44 255 24.2 124 14.0 379 20.8 0.000 (22.9 - 25.4) (12.6 - 15.3) (19.8 - 21.9) 45-54 222 26.8 110 16.1 332 23.2 0.000 (25.0 - 28.5) (14.2 - 18.0) (21.8 - 24.7) 55-64 178 26.0 86 18.5 264 23.6 0.000 (24.3 - 27.8) (16.6 - 20.5) (22.2 - 25.0) 15-64 987 23.9 480 14.7 1467 20.9 0.000 (23.2 - 24.6) (13.9 - 15.5) (20.3 - 21.4) 25-64 879 24.5 427 14.9 1306 21.4 0.000 (23.8 - 25.2) (14.1 - 15.7) (20.8 - 22.0)
This is the first comprehensive population-based survey on risk factors of Non communicable diseases (NCDs) among adults in Kosova. Our study shows that Kosova is among the countries with high prevalence of smoking. 31.7% of respondents aged 25-64 years are current smokers. Findings of this survey confirmed that cigarette smoking was more prevalent among men than women in Kosova (41.6% vs. 21.9%: P<0.001).
The prevalence is similar with the prevalence of smoking among school children in Kosova (9). Students aged between 13 and 15 years reported smoking cigarettes with 37%. In Kosova, from the ESPAD survey on 15-16-yearold school children in 2011, the frequency of lifetime cigarette use was reported in 35.0 % (boys 48.0% vs. girls 25.0%), (11).
Another study (24) with 261 students from 4 secondary schools in Guilin, a town in south-east Kosova, found that 36% reported to have smoked cigarettes every day. Girls consumed more cigarettes, and the incidence of smoking was higher among students in their last year of high school studies.
In the study with the first year medical students, University of Prishtina, Kosova, (14) the prevalence of daily smokers was 8.9% (9.1% men vs. 8.7% women) for general medicine students and 5.8% (4.8% men vs. 6.5% women) for dentistry students. This shows that the medical students in Kosova smoke less compared with the general population.
The prevalence of smoking among Kosova adults is similar to the prevalence of smoking in most of Balkan countries (15). Compared to other studies from Balkan countries, Kosova has lower prevalence than Bosnia and Herzegovina (16, 17) and Albania (18, 19), but higher prevalence than Croatia (20, 21) and Slovenia (22, 23). In 2010, a face-to-face survey on smoking in 18 European countries of the population aged 15 years or older was conducted. Overall, 27.2% of the participants were current smokers (30.6% of men and 24.1% of women) (4).Our results show that the prevalence of current smokers in Kosova is higher than the European average, but lower than the prevalence in Bulgaria and Greece.
Similar studies (24) with adults aged over 18 years from 48 states which have reported their data, current daily smokers in the Middle-income country group among men was 34.1% and among women 10.8%. A current daily smoker in the Low-income country group was reported among men in 25.2%, and among women in 6%. In most countries, the prevalence of smoking is higher among men, except in Sweden, where smoking prevalence is higher among women (25). The prevalence of smoking in Kosova adults is higher among men compared to women. According to the age group, the highest prevalence of smoking in Kosova was among 25-34yearolds (31.9%) and 35-44yearolds (36.9%) and 45-54yearolds (31.9%).
In the United States of America (USA), in 2014, nearly 17 of every 100 USA adults aged 18 years or older (16.8%) currently smoked cigarettes (men 18.8% vs. women 14.8%). Current cigarette smoking was higher among persons aged 25–44 years (20.0%), (26, 27).
In our study, among the smokers aged 15-64 years, 90.1% were daily smokers. The average number of cigarettes smoked during the day was 20.9 cigarettes, for men 23.9 cigarettes and for women 14.7 cigarettes. It is higher than in Germany (28), where the average number of cigarettes smoked per day is 10, and Greece (29) where the average number of cigarettes smoked per day is 19.8. Among the daily smokers aged 15-64 years, 93.6% smoked manufactured cigarettes. In 2012, in a study done in 187 countries (30), there were 75 countries where the average number of cigarettes per daily smoker was higher than 20 cigarettes per day.
There is evidence that comprehensive tobacco control programmes reduce smoking prevalence (31), and the implementation of those policies has decreased the prevalence of smoking, for example, in the USA, Canada, Ireland, Norway, The Great Britain and Iceland (32-37). At the time when the research was being conducted, there was no legislation on tobacco control in Kosova; there were only health education activities for quitting tobacco consumption and a few health warnings on boxes of tobacco. The law for tobacco control in Kosova came into force in May 2013. Therefore, these kind of studies (STEPs) need to be repeated in order to measure the effect of such actions to smoking prevalence, especially in places where the implementation of those measures is not satisfactory.
The limitation of the study is that, as the data were from a cross-sectional survey, a structured questionnaire was used to assess tobacco use by face-to-face interviews; this could have resulted in over-reporting or under-reporting of smoking. The age of smoking initiation may also be subject to recall bias. Although these limitations exist, our study offers valuable data for tobacco control and prevention in Kosova.
The prevalence of smoking in Kosova is high compared with other countries in Eastern Europe. In future decades, Kosova will face a high probability of an increased burden of smoking-related diseases. A special attention should be paid to coordinated government- and community-based interventions, using the guidelines to implement and manage tobacco control, ratified by the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control and proven measures to strengthen country level interventions in reducing cigarette smoking and smoking-related diseases and deaths among Kosova adults.