<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">

<p>This paper analyzes the relationship between food and oil prices in Nigeria before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, using monthly data from January 2018 to December 2021. The ARDL and NARDL models are applied to estimate the symmetry and asymmetric relationship that exists in food price behavior. The NARDL confirms the presence of asymmetries, and the bound test affirms the co-integration and long-run relationship among the variables. In the long run, there is a significant positive relation between oil price increases and food prices, but the long-run impact of oil price reductions on food prices is not significant. In the short run, only increases in oil prices exert a significant influence on food prices, while decreases in oil prices do not. Furthermore, the COVID-19 period exerts a positive and significant impact on food prices, while COVID-19 cases do not influence food prices in Nigeria.</p>
</abstract>

This paper analyzes the relationship between food and oil prices in Nigeria before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, using monthly data from January 2018 to December 2021. The ARDL and NARDL models are applied to estimate the symmetry and asymmetric relationship that exists in food price behavior. The NARDL confirms the presence of asymmetries, and the bound test affirms the co-integration and long-run relationship among the variables. In the long run, there is a significant positive relation between oil price increases and food prices, but the long-run impact of oil price reductions on food prices is not significant. In the short run, only increases in oil prices exert a significant influence on food prices, while decreases in oil prices do not. Furthermore, the COVID-19 period exerts a positive and significant impact on food prices, while COVID-19 cases do not influence food prices in Nigeria.

Oil and Food Price Before and During COVID-19 Pandemic in Nigeria: A Non-Linear ARDL Approach

Studia Universitatis „Vasile Goldis” Arad – Economics Series

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

This paper analyzes the relationship between food and oil prices in Nigeria before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, using monthly data from January 2018 to...

Oil and Food Price Before and During COVID-19 Pandemic in Nigeria: A Non-Linear ARDL Approach

Data publikacji: 25 kwi 2024

Zakres stron: 32 - 56

Otrzymano: 01 kwi 2023

Przyjęty: 01 lip 2023

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/sues-2024-0007

Słowa kluczowe
Food price, Food price behaviour, Oil price, Asymmetry, ARDL, NARDL, Nigeria

© 2024 Muhammad-Bashir Owolabi Yusuf et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Oil and Food Price Before and During COVID-19 Pandemic in Nigeria: A Non-Linear ARDL Approach

Data publikacji: 25 kwi 2024

Zakres stron: 32 - 56

Otrzymano: 01 kwi 2023

Przyjęty: 01 lip 2023

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/sues-2024-0007

Słowa kluczoweFood price, Food price behaviour, Oil price, Asymmetry, ARDL, NARDL, Nigeria

© 2024 Muhammad-Bashir Owolabi Yusuf et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Słowa kluczowe
Food price, Food price behaviour, Oil price, Asymmetry, ARDL, NARDL, Nigeria