<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>Social constructivism is not among the most popular theoretical approaches used in forecasting in International Relations. The article argues that constructivism suffers from the same limitations as any other paradigm in IR, therefore, there is no reason to exclude this theory from forecasting effort. In this paper, social constructivism is perceived to offer a new conceptual framework for sound and robust projections of the future. The core of our concept is constituted by the term of collective habitus. Habitus is a relatively stable, yet mutable social structure that can enable deliberations about future. It is based on a long-term history study programme of the School of Annales, as we identify long lasting habits-like patterns of behaviours among IR actors.</p></abstract>

Social constructivism is not among the most popular theoretical approaches used in forecasting in International Relations. The article argues that constructivism suffers from the same limitations as any other paradigm in IR, therefore, there is no reason to exclude this theory from forecasting effort. In this paper, social constructivism is perceived to offer a new conceptual framework for sound and robust projections of the future. The core of our concept is constituted by the term of collective habitus. Habitus is a relatively stable, yet mutable social structure that can enable deliberations about future. It is based on a long-term history study programme of the School of Annales, as we identify long lasting habits-like patterns of behaviours among IR actors.

Social Constructivism as Forecasting Matrix. Collective Habitus in International Relations

Polish Political Science Review

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

Social constructivism is not among the most popular theoretical approaches used in forecasting in International Relations. The article argues that...

Social Constructivism as Forecasting Matrix. Collective Habitus in International Relations

Data publikacji: 20 lip 2020

Zakres stron: 1 - 19

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/ppsr-2020-0001

Słowa kluczowe
collective habitus, national habitus, forecasting, social constructivism, future’s projection, zones of plausibility

© 2020 Karol Chwedczuk-Szulc et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

Social Constructivism as Forecasting Matrix. Collective Habitus in International Relations

Data publikacji: 20 lip 2020

Zakres stron: 1 - 19

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/ppsr-2020-0001

Słowa kluczowecollective habitus, national habitus, forecasting, social constructivism, future’s projection, zones of plausibility

© 2020 Karol Chwedczuk-Szulc et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

Słowa kluczowe
collective habitus, national habitus, forecasting, social constructivism, future’s projection, zones of plausibility