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American media, Scandinavian audiences: Contextual fragmentation and polarisation among Swedes and Norwegians engaging with American politics


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Introduction

Media fragmentation has emerged as a prominent concern in the digital age, due to the proliferation of media channels, platforms, and content sources (Napoli, 2011; Webster et al., 2006). Digital media create what are known as high-choice media environments, in which it is argued that audiences use fewer and fewer of the same sources, aided by niche content targeting and algorithms (Prior, 2005). Related to this, research in some countries suggests that audiences are increasingly making their media choices based on political alignment. The development of the political sorting of media audiences, known as audience polarisation (Iyengar & Hahn, 2009; Steppat et al., 2022; Webster, 2005), raises additional concerns, as it may lead to fewer shared cultural and epistemological touchpoints, potentially exacerbating societal divisions and undermining democratic discourse.

While much research on media fragmentation and audience polarisation has focused on individual countries, particularly the US (Jurkowitz et al., 2022 Mitchell et al., 2014; Stroud, 2010), there has been limited exploration of how fragmentation and polarisation cross cultural contexts and media spheres. Yet high-choice media environments are also porous media environments, where people can engage more easily with media from other countries. This adds another layer of complexity to people’s media diets and has implications for how we understand media fragmentation, as users’ practices may vary depending on the media contexts they encounter. It is also not clear what effects global choices may have on audience polarisation, which is often studied in a national context, with consideration of how people choose among national media. Consequently, there is a need for intranational research that examines media consumers in their wider context (Fletcher & Nielsen, 2017: 478).

In this article, I investigate the dynamics of media polarisation and audience fragmentation in digital news environments through a study of Swedish and Norwegian Twitter (now known as X) users discussing the 2020 American presidential race. Presidential races have long captured the attention of European audiences (Vliegenthart et al., 2010), and online platforms provide new ways to follow the race. The analysis compares measurements of fragmentation in the users’ national-language media networks (Swedish and Norwegian) versus the English-language media network in each country. Additionally, I delve into the political ideology of the users, providing insights into how polarisation shapes media consumption patterns.

Scandinavian media and political systems differ notably from the US. While the American media environment, which is large and highly commercial, has become increasingly polarised along political lines (Iyengar & Hahn, 2009), the Scandinavian media landscape has been characterised by a strong public service tradition and less pronounced political polarisation (Ryan, 2023; Syvertsen et al., 2014). Yet Scandinavians also have high levels of English proficiency, high rates of digital media use, and a demonstrated interest in American politics (Accurat & Google News Lab, 2016; Andersen & Jerijervi, 2020; Education First, 2019). Meanwhile, within the region, Norway and Sweden have demonstrated divergences in their politics in recent years (Herkman & Jungar, 2021; Oscarsson & Strömback, 2019). Consequently, studying media fragmentation across these three distinct media contexts – the US, Norway, and Sweden – offers an opportunity to better understand how this phenomenon is shaped by cultural, political, and structural factors.

Twitter serves as an ideal platform for examining media consumption and sharing practices, as it facilitated the rapid dissemination of information, opinions, and links to various news sources (Bruns, 2018) and was an important global arena for political discussions about the 2020 American presidential race (Leetaru, 2021). Though Twitter was a relatively niche platform – used by around 17 per cent of the population in Norway and Sweden (Newman et al., 2020) – its users tend to be politically engaged, and therefore likely to be interested in the election. Moreover, news sharing was common on the platform; Aljebreen and colleagues (2021) estimated that one out of every five tweets contain a URL, and Bruns and Stieglitz (2012) found the portion could be over 50 per cent in breaking news situations.

This study contributes to the existing literature on media fragmentation and audience polarisation by offering a cross-cultural perspective that highlights the context-dependent nature of these phenomena. Furthermore, it underscores the importance of considering fragmentation and polarisation in a global context, as digital communication increasingly transcends geographical and cultural boundaries (Castells, 2015; Rauchfleisch et al., 2020). One potential implication that I discuss is whether the global information spheres facilitated by digital media platforms like Twitter may lead Scandinavian users to identify with particular political ideologies and perspectives, despite not being voters in the US.

Literature review

In this section, I distinguish between several concepts that are closely related – and have sometimes been used interchangeably. I first discuss media proliferation and its potential consequence, fragmentation. Next, I examine the political dimension of fragmentation, focusing on the concept of polarisation, and distinguishing ideological and affective polarisation from audience polarisation. Following this, I consider how sharing media in online networks differs from consuming media, which has been the usual metric used in audience studies. These sections are followed by an argument for “intranational” comparative studies in the age of transnational digital media.

Media proliferation and fragmentation

The rise of digital media has sparked debates about media fragmentation and its implications for society. Media fragmentation is driven by the proliferation and diversification of media channels, platforms, and content in the digital age. The high-choice media environment enables audiences to select content that aligns with their preferences and interests, which may lead to increasingly fragmented and tailored media consumption patterns (Prior, 2005). From this perspective, fragmentation results from the growing abundance of media options and the ability of users to actively choose and curate their media experiences (Napoli, 2011; Webster, 2005). Fragmentation is a concern because it can lead to audience segregation, echo chambers, and an erosion of shared cultural experiences, potentially undermining the democratic exchange of ideas and the formation of a well-informed citizenry (Pariser, 2011; Sunstein, 2007).

Prior (2005) investigated the emergence of a high-choice media environment due to technological advancements, namely cable and satellite television and the Internet, focusing on news and entertainment content. Using data from the American National Election Studies as well as Nielsen Media Research, Prior found that high-choice media environments led to a widening gap in political knowledge and participation between politically interested and disinterested individuals. Prior argued that the proliferation of media and the ability to make active choices allow individuals with a strong interest in politics to consume more news content, while those with a low interest in politics are more likely to choose entertainment, which, he found, led to lower voter turnout.

Other scholars have argued that while audiences might be able to make active choices, they still converge around many of the same media channels, outlets, and events (Hindman, 2009; Webster & Ksiazek, 2012). Mutz and Young (2011: 1028) summarised the phenomenon this way:

In an extremely high-choice environment, with hundreds of program options as is now common, it is improbable to suggest that a viewer pick up the remote control and channel-surf among all possible programs in order to decide which program to watch at a given sitting. There are simply too many options to make this approach feasible.

Cultural trends, recommendations from friends, and social environments still prevail, particularly when confronted with overwhelming choice. In other words, media proliferation does not result in proportionally fragmented media consumption (Webster, 2005).

Webster and colleagues have proposed that media use should be understood through the concept of audience duplication (Webster, 2005; Webster et al., 2006; Webster & Ksiazek, 2012). Duplication occurs when different audience segments consume and engage with the same media content or sources. This distinction has been visualised in Figure 1, showing that the number of media outlets available does not necessarily equal fragmentation. The concept of duplication suggests that common media experiences can still exist within high-choice environments (Webster & Ksiazek, 2012). Thus, Prior’s entertainment-preferring viewers are not entirely cut off from news. In this view, digital media platforms may facilitate the emergence of new shared media experiences and cross-cutting exposure to diverse content, fostering a degree of overlap in audience consumption patterns.

FIGURE 1

Duplication and fragmentation

Source: adapted from Webster, 2005

Drawing on Webster and Ksiazek (2012), Fletcher and Nielsen (2017) further investigated audience fragmentation and duplication in seven countries, using data from the Reuters Institute Digital News Report. Their findings challenge the universality of Prior’s earlier finding that news audiences are becoming increasingly fragmented due to media proliferation. Instead, Fletcher and Nielsen found that media fragmentation varies significantly across countries and platforms, and that audience duplication is more common than previously thought.

Among the findings relevant to this article are Fletcher and Nielsen’s observation of higher duplication in the US than in Denmark. This is unexpected given the common assumption that the American media environment is more fragmented due to the immense proliferation of outlets. Fletcher and Nielsen found that despite the abundance of available media, Americans still consume news from a core set of popular sources. In contrast, Denmark has fewer options and less duplication. This finding is not conclusive, though. Steppat and colleagues (2022), for example, found that Denmark is much less fragmented than the US and other European countries.

Other comparative studies have found that different countries have experienced the proliferation of media in different ways (Gaol et al., 2020). In their study of news consumption gaps in Europe, Aalberg and colleagues (2013) found significant variation across European countries – even in the Nordic region, where Norway’s news consumption has declined and Denmark’s is steady. These studies highlight that fragmentation is influenced by various factors such as national media systems, the strength of public service media, and political and cultural differences. However, Fletcher and Nielsen (2017: 478) have pointed out that the underlying factors are not entirely clear: “our findings [… underline] the need for further comparative research to develop our understanding of the interplay between structural differences in media systems and audience difference in media use in different countries [emphasis added]”.

Bringing politics into the mix

A concept closely aligned with media fragmentation is the concept of political polarisation. This issue has received particular attention in the US, where some scholars have tied partisan media outlets, particularly on the right, to political division in the country (Benkler et al., 2018; Jurkowitz et al., 2022; Mutz, 2006; Mitchell et al., 2014; Prior, 2013). Polarisation has also become an increasing concern in Brazil, India, and many European democracies, where far-right and nativist–populist parties have been gaining ground among voters, leading to concerns that audiences are moving into different media spheres.

In their study “Red Media, Blue Media”, Iyengar and Hahn (2009: 20) drew a connection between media proliferation and audience polarisation in the digital age:

Given this dramatic increase in the number of available news outlets, it is not surprising that media choices increasingly reflect partisan considerations. People who feel strongly about the correctness of their cause or policy preferences seek out information they believe is consistent.

The scholars found clear distinctions in the preferred news brands of Democrats (CNN, NPR) and Republicans (Fox News) – even on coverage of apolitical topics – which they attributed to ideological differences (“cause or policy preferences” in the quote above). In effect, this is a form of selective exposure that creates preferences for not just individual news items but entire media brands (Arendt et al., 2019).

The concern over fragmentation of audiences along political lines has been further driven by the affordances of online networks. Particularly influential in these discussions are the concepts of “echo chambers” (Sunstein, 2007) and “filter bubbles” (Pariser, 2011), which theorise that digital platforms – and in the case of filter bubbles, the algorithms that platforms use – allow or encourage people to interact with similarly minded people and information that aligns with their existing views. These concepts suggest that political divisions may be exasperated by digital media.

Yet empirical investigations into the phenomena of filter bubbles and echo chambers often reveal that people’s digital practices are messier than these theories imply (Bruns, 2019; Dahlgren, 2021). A literature review by Ross Arguedas and colleagues (2022: 4) found that even in the US, “people have relatively diverse media diets”, and those who get all their news from partisan sources were a small minority. Studies have found that online news consumption exposes individuals to diverse viewpoints through incidental exposure (Bakshy et al., 2015; Flaxman et al., 2016), that consumers may have more varied diets than their declared brand preferences imply (Weeks et al., 2016), and that online environments may be less ideologically segregated than people’s offline environments (Gentzgow & Shapiro, 2011). In a study on Twitter users in Norway, Enjolras and Salway (2022) found that while users tend to retweet content from those who share their political orientation, political networks overall did not exhibit high levels of ideological homophily.

Moreover, preferences may not be cultivated through careful evaluation of a media brand’s political position. Mutz and Young (2011), reflecting on Iyengar and Hahn’s “Red Media, Blue Media” study, interpreted the results as people not so much actively looking for media that aligns with their policy preferences, but as people sticking to habits learned in their social environments, much closer to the social identity frameworks that Iyengar and colleagues (2012) argued are at work in affective polarisation (see also Arendt et al., 2019). Perhaps one of the most interesting findings for this study is that selective exposure may be highly context-specific. In a cross-national experiment, Steppat and colleagues (2022) found that participants from countries with low media fragmentation and polarisation exhibited low tendencies toward selective exposure in their own environment, but they were more likely than others to seek out ideologically congruent sources when placed in given the option of many partisan sources.

Yet the existing literature on audience polarisation presents certain limitations and challenges. First, much of the research has been conducted in an American context, which is a two-party system and may more easily lend itself to a divide between two poles. This context is different from most of the parliamentary systems in Europe, including the Scandinavian countries.

Second, the literature presents certain ontological challenges; as noted by Lelkes (2016), the concept of polarisation is not deployed consistently. It has been used to describe a tendency toward homophily (Enjolras & Salway, 2022; Webster, 2005), as a synonym for partisanship (Prior, 2013), and to mean the process by which groups become more extreme in their beliefs (Gentzkow, 2016; Isenberg, 1986). At times, it is not clear whether it is a dependent or independent variable (e.g., are echo chambers a synonym for polarisation, or a cause of polarisation?), which further complicates interpretation of the body of research.

Due to the ongoing confusion around polarisation as a concept, I would like to distinguish in this article between three different forms: ideological, affective, and audience polarisation. I understand ideological polarisation

Ideological polarisation as defined in this article is similar to what Lelkes (2016) calls “ideological divergence”. In his conception, ideological polarisation can also take the form of “ideological consistency”, in which people’s various ideological standpoints clearly align with one side or the other.

as the distance between groups on policy questions (Gentzkow, 2016; Ross Arguedas et al., 2022), while affective polarisation refers to a social distance between groups, characterised by out-group animosity or simply “political hatred” (Finkel et al. 2020: 533). Affective polarisation can lead to a lack of trust, cooperation, and compromise between groups, even if there is not much ideological difference between them (Iyengar et al., 2012). Meanwhile, I use audience polarisation to describe the political sorting of media audiences

This is not to be confused with media polarisation, which refers to the partisanship in media outlets themselves (see Prior, 2013; Steppat et al., 2022).

(Iyengar & Hahn, 2009; Newman et al., 2017; Webster, 2005). In this view, filter bubbles and echo chambers are extreme versions of audience polarisation, with ideological and affective polarisation being potential outcomes. Moreover, this means that audience polarisation is a way of nuancing media fragmentation. While media fragmentation refers to a splitting of media consumers into separate audiences, audience polarisation potentially occurs when this fragmentation follows political lines.

Finally, despite the concern about the role of digital media in contributing to fragmentation and polarisation, relatively little research has considered one of the most common media practices in digital media: sharing links. I discuss link sharing as a source of data for measuring fragmentation and polarisation further in the next section.

Media consumption and media sharing

With the growth of social media platforms, the concept of media “engagement” has emerged as a framework for understanding audience behaviour. Previously, audience studies primarily focused on media consumption – generally measured in terms of minutes of exposure – an approach that has faced criticism for neglecting the more active, participatory aspects of media use (Livingstone & Markham, 2008). In contrast, according to Ha and colleagues (2018), news engagement goes beyond consumption and embraces the wide range of participatory activities, including posting content, commenting, liking, and retweeting (see also Hermida et al., 2012; van Dijck & Poell, 2013), activities that reflect the blurred boundaries between media production and consumption (Bruns, 2018).

News sharing, a key aspect of media engagement, is a prime way that news media is distributed in networks (Bakshy et al., 2015; Bruns & Stieglitz, 2012; Grinberg et al., 2019; Hedman et al., 2018; Rauchfleisch et al., 2020). Trilling and colleagues (2017) found that the logics of “shareworthiness” are largely similar to the journalistic logics that dictate “newsworthiness”. While studies find that mainstream media are often the sources being shared, Bruns (2018: 140–141) argued that the act of sharing – and often, commenting – has lowered the threshold to political discussions, as link sharing is “not the domain of news and political junkies only, but a fundamental everyday activity on social media”.

On Twitter, links were shared in various ways, including by pasting a link into a tweet, retweeting a link shared by another user, or by tweeting directly “via” a news website. These functions may have different motivations. Studies in the US and Norway have found that users often retweeted content that agrees with their views, while tweets with original commentary may be more critical of the link (Conover et al., 2011; Enjolras & Salway, 2022), or what Bruns (2018) calls gatewatching. Yet all of these forms extend the reach of the media outlet and help “curate” the personalised news flows of other users (Thorson & Wells, 2016). “Exposure to any given message”, write Thorson and Wells (2016: 313), “depends on a person’s position within the multiplicity of intertwined message flows”. In this way, users help each other sort through the “abundance” of high-choice environments, and curate a “collection of manageable size” (Thorson & Wells, 2016: 313).

However, we must consider that news sharing is fundamentally different from consumption, and in some ways may involve less exposure – namely, that users often share news articles without reading them (Ward et al., 2022). In a similar vein, researchers have found that that link sharing is shaped by both a desire to share information and influence others, as well as a desire to conform to the expectations of others (Bhagat & Kim, 2022), making it a highly social and socialised act (Wall, 2015). More generous theories of news sharing have framed it as an affective act and a way of showing solidarity (Papacharissi, 2015), as well as a performative act, or a way of signalling an identity to other users in the network (Bruns, 2018).

Thus, because link sharing occurs in socio-technological spaces, it is important to keep in mind that link sharing may have different underlying barriers and motivations compared with previous measures of news consumption. Despite these limitations, link-sharing data can be a powerful tool for tracking media flows on digital platforms – in part because this data is able to capture the universe of options now available to media consumers.

Transnational platforms and the case for intranational comparative research

As previously discussed, the emergence of digital media has presented new questions about how people find and consume information, opening up possibilities for global information sharing that crosses the traditional boundaries of national media systems (Castells, 2015; Rauchfleisch et al., 2020). Online platforms facilitate not only the exchange of information, but potentially also political identities and affect (Appadurai, 1996; Papacharissi, 2015). The degree to which digital networks potentially exacerbate issues of fragmentation and polarisation is unclear, but it is evident that the impact of political communication crossing borders should not be overlooked in understanding the complexities of media audiences.

Traditional cross-national comparative research has been one way of exploring differences in media systems and their effects on public opinion and behaviour (Urman, 2020). However, this approach may be insufficient to capture the fluidity of the global media environment. To address this, I argue for a new kind of comparative research that focuses on the same population of people in different media environments – what I refer to as intranational comparative research. This approach has been used effectively in other contexts, such as research on diaspora populations (Tripodi & Potocky-Tripodi, 2006), but has yet to be fully explored in media research. By comparing audiences in different media environments, researchers can better understand how different media systems and platforms shape attitudes, and to what extent these differences are shaped by what Fletcher and Nielsen (2017) called structural or audience differences. This approach also allows researchers to overcome some of the limitations of traditional cross-national comparisons, such as differences in methodology, sampling, and context.

In line with this approach, in this article I use a global event, the 2020 American presidential race, as a window into how the same population of people in different media environments perceive and engage with political discourse. American elections are notable for their global impact and extensive coverage worldwide (Boyon, 2020; Vliegenthart et al., 2010), making the election an ideal subject for intranational comparative research. This approach builds on a previous study of mine where I, together with Gunn Enli (2022), mapped the “deterritorialisation” of elections in the global information space of Twitter, highlighting the need for closure research on audiences and users themselves. By examining the same population of people in different media environments, it is possible to explore how the global flow of information and media shapes attitudes towards political candidates, issues, and events.

Case background: Scandinavian and American media contexts

In 2017, the Reuters Institute Digital News Report documented variations across countries in audience polarisation (Newman et al., 2017), with the US having the highest audience polarisation score. In contrast, Norway and Sweden had relatively low polarisation. This is in line with historic trends in the Scandinavian public spheres toward less partisanship and more consensus-oriented politics (Skogerbø et al., 2016). In Sweden and Norway, the media landscape is characterised by a relatively high level of public funding and public service media dominance (Hallin & Mancini, 2004). These public service media, along with other support programmes for media, are seen as necessary for ensuring high-quality news offerings in the national languages, given these relatively small media markets (Syvertsen et al., 2014).

In contrast, the US is a huge and highly commercialised media system, with private ownership dominating the landscape (Hallin & Mancini, 2004). While the Public Broadcasting Service (PBS) and National Public Radio (NPR) exist as semi-publicly funded entities, they are more supplemental to the media market rather than occupying a central role, as public service media does in the Scandinavian countries. Cable and online sources have added to the range of niche and partisan offerings. “The new, more diversified information environment makes it not only more possible for consumers to seek out news they might find agreeable but also provides a strong economic incentive for news organisations to cater to their viewers’ political preferences”, wrote Iyengar and Hahn (2009: 21). Within this media environment, right-wing media, particularly Fox News, have gained significant influence (Benkler et al., 2018), although Fox has faced competition in recent years from the rise of far-right and nativist-populist media outlets, such as Breitbart News, The Gateway Pundit, and One America News Network (OANN), which were highly supportive of Donald Trump’s identitarian politics (Bail, 2021).

Political systems in Scandinavia and the US also differ in several respects. The US has a two-party system, and American voters often display strong loyalty to their chosen party and polarised views on policy issues (Prior, 2013; Mason, 2013). The two-party system is believed to contribute to an “us versus them” mentality, exacerbating affective polarisation (Iyengar et al., 2012). The sense of in-group identity and out-group animosity extends not only to news brands, but even to brands of other products, such as Nike and Patagonia, a form of what Schoenmueller and colleagues (2022) called brand-preference polarisation.

In contrast, Sweden and Norway have multiparty systems, with several political parties holding significant representation in the countries’ respective parliaments. While parties differ in their specific policy preferences, the political discourse is often characterised by a consensus-driven approach and a commitment to the key pillars of the Nordic welfare model, such as a strong welfare state, progressive taxation, and labour rights (Syvertsen et al., 2014). Coalition governments are common, requiring political parties to compromise and work together across ideological lines.

The consensus-oriented Scandinavian system has been challenged of late by the rise of nativist–populist parties, such as the Sweden Democrats and the more moderate Norwegian Progress Party, which advocate for stricter immigration policies, national sovereignty, and preservation of Christian culture (Herkman & Jungar, 2021). Concurrently, new digital-native media sources have contributed to the dissemination and reinforcement of populist narratives. Alternative right-wing media outlets have emerged in both countries, providing platforms for nativist–populist views and challenging the traditional media landscape (Figenschou & Ihlebæk, 2019; Ihlebæk & Nygaard, 2021).

Scandinavia is markedly different from the American media market, providing an opportunity to compare system contexts. But there are also differences between Sweden and Norway that offer additional opportunities for contrast. In Sweden, a larger and more urban country, digital media and alternative news websites have played a role in the spread of misinformation and the polarisation of public opinion, particularly in relation to immigration and the rise of the right-wing Sweden Democrats (Larsson, 2020; Sandberg & Ihlebæk, 2019). Oscarsson and Strömbäck (2019: 327) wrote that “the rising salience of a cultural value dimension […] is currently reshaping one of the most unidimensional party systems in the world”. Norway has not experienced this restructuring along identitarian lines to the same extent (Herkman & Jungar, 2021; Ryan, 2022).

Methodology

This study uses data from a data collection made from Twitter (now known as X) during the run-up and immediate aftermath of the 2020 American election. Tweets were gathered from the streaming API using the DMI-TCAT tool (Borra & Rieder, 2014) based on language-neutral keywords (biden, trump, @joebiden, @realdonaldtrump) and English-language hashtags (#debate, #debate2020, #debatenight, #election2020, #electionday, #electionnight) associated with the election and candidates during 26 September–9 November 2020.

Due to data limits imposed by Twitter, not all available data could be collected. This collection should thus be thought of as a sample of the universe of tweets, rather than a comprehensive collection.

Each tweet contains metadata, including the sender’s profile information (name, location, and user description) and the language of the tweet, as coded by Twitter (Twitter Engineering, 2015). Additionally, the DMI-TCAT includes a tool that identifies and expands links contained in the text of tweets.

Identification of Scandinavian users

Swedish and Norwegian users were identified through a combination of language (Swedish and Norwegian) and geoparsing. Geoparsing involves natural language matching of place names and has been used in previous studies on the geography of Twitter (Bruns et al., 2014; Bruns & Enli, 2018; Hänska & Bauchowitz, 2019; Leetaru et al., 2013; Rauchfleisch et al., 2020; Robinson, 2022; Sloan & Morgan, 2015). In this case, the self-reported location information in user profiles was matched against a list of 4,059 Swedish and Norwegian place names, including country names, regions, historic regions, provinces, cities, and the neighbourhoods and suburbs of major cities, compiled from tables on Wikipedia, Airbnb.com, and national census bureaus (SSB and SCB). This is drawn from Bruns and colleagues’ (2014) approach for determining “Australianness” in mapping the Australian Twittersphere. Where applicable, both the English- and Scandinavian-language versions were included, for example, Göteborg and Gothenburg.

For Norway, national, regional, and county-level names in nynorsk [New Norwegian] were also included.

Users identified through geoparsing were then selected if they tweeted at least once in Norwegian or Swedish, or if they had a Norwegian or Swedish vowel their account profiles. After selecting the tweets that included a URL, this resulted in four datasets grouped by country and language: Swedish users in Swedish (N = 3,093); Swedish users in English (N = 2,682); Norwegian users in Norwegian (N = 1,216); and Norwegian users in English (N = 1,397). These sets are later denoted as Swe-Swe, Swe-Eng, Nor-Nor, and Nor-Eng.

About a third of users had tweets in both their national language and in English (30.7% of users in Norway and 31.1% in Sweden), meaning that these users appear in both datasets for their country. One option would have been to study only these users. However, it is likely that tweets in multiple languages appear from these users because they tweeted more; dual-language users are responsible for 69.5 per cent of the tweets by Norwegian users and 70.1 per cent of the tweets from Swedish users. Thus, selecting only dual-language users may inadvertently select for Twitter power-users.

Similar disproportionate usage rates have been documented in other Twitter analyses (Wojcik & Hughes, 2019).

This is one way in which social media data presents a challenge compared with traditional audience data: Participants in television studies all had the same number of hours available in the day, but social media users can have wildly different amounts of trace data. Ultimately, since the criteria for inclusion in both datasets was the same, I decided not to limit the investigation to media shared by dual-language users alone.

Identification of media outlets

Media outlets were identified through the URLs embedded in the collected tweets. To identify the base domains of the media outlets (e.g., cnn.com or nrk. no), Regular Expression (Regex) commands were applied. Similar URLs (e.g., video.cnn.com with cnn.com) were identified computationally through text matching; these were then consolidated, ensuring that different subdomains of the same outlet were treated as a single entity. Before the subsequent analysis, URL shorteners (e.g., bitly) and platforms such as Twitter, Instagram, and YouTube were removed, as these serve as conduits to other content of unknown origin.

Because this data includes any potential URL that users linked to, the potential links are as limitless as the Internet. This results in a very long tail of URLs, with many shared by only one user. Webster and Ksiazek (2012: 48), who used browser-tracking data, addressed this issue by applying a threshold: Websites had to be visited by 3 per cent or more of users. Here, because sharing creates a slightly higher barrier to clear, I used a 1 per cent threshold for each country–language group in order to maintain the potential diversity of sources.

Fletcher and Nielsen (2017), who used survey data, addressed this issue by using only the top-14 media outlets in all countries they studied. However, this could artificially abridge the American media environment especially, since it is characterised by many more media outlets, and allegedly, more fragmentation – and in fact Fletcher and Nielsen (2017: 485) pointed this out as a potential limitation of their study.

Measurement of media fragmentation

Media fragmentation was measured by examining the diversity and concentration of information sources shared by Scandinavian users. Users’ URL shares were converted into media-to-media networks based on overlapping sharing. For example, let’s say User 1 shares a link to Outlet A in one tweet and a link to Outlet B in another tweet; in the media-to-media network, this creates a tie between Outlet A and Outlet B. The data was unweighted on a user level, meaning that subsequent tweets by User 1 that linked to Outlet A or B would not increase the strength of the tie between the two outlets. This decision avoids the above-mentioned issue of power-users dominating the data. Moreover, it ensures methodological consistency with previous studies, in which calculations (e.g., “reach”, see below) are based on distribution of use across audiences rather than how individuals distribute their media use (Webster & Ksiazek, 2012; Fletcher & Nielsen, 2017). Even so, this choice potentially impacts the results, as discussed further on.

One of the challenges of measuring audience fragmentation is that any single user can establish a tie between two outlets, effectively creating a low barrier to duplication. To address this, only ties that are statistically significant are included. This was calculated using the method described by Webster and Ksiazek (2012), in which the observed ties between each pair of outlets is compared with the number of ties that would be expected by chance based on the reach of each outlet. In this case, “reach” refers to the number of users who shared a link to the outlet out of all users who shared links. In the previous example, if Outlet A has a reach of 2 per cent and Outlet B has a reach of 5 per cent, then we could expect that 0.1 per cent of users (0.02 × 0.05) would have shared links to both by chance. This is the expected value. Ties between outlets whose observed ties were below the expected values were removed.

Drawing on Fletcher and Nielsen (2017), several network statistics were calculated on the media-to-media networks. Network density, which compares the number of potential ties to existing ties in the network (Himelboim, 2017), was used to measure the level of fragmentation or duplication. Lower density scores indicate higher levels of media fragmentation, while higher scores suggest higher duplication. This is complemented by centralisation, a measure of the degree to which the network is organised around certain hubs. Generally, we expect networks that have high density (duplication) to have low centralisation. I also calculated diameter and transitivity. Diameter is a measure of the shortest path between the two most distant (in terms of connections) outlets in the network. Transitivity (here measured by the clustering coefficient) is the degree to which outlets in the network are clustered together, meaning that neighbours will share connections, as measured by the number of closed triangles in the network (Fletcher & Nielsen, 2017). Network centralisation was calculated in igraph, an R library for network analysis; the other statistics were calculated in the network visualisation program Gephi.

Measurement of audience polarisation

To measure audience polarisation, defined here as alignment between media use and political orientation, community clusters were identified in the media-to-media networks using Gephi’s modularity class algorithm, which identifies divisions in a network (Blondel et al., 2008). The algorithm iteratively sorts nodes – in this case, media outlets – into communities where connections are stronger than would be expected by chance. The output is a set of subnetworks – “modularity classes” – effectively grouping media outlets based on the level of duplication they share with other outlets, and thus categorising them according to their shared audience (Guerra et al., 2013).

Second, a random sample of 1,200 Scandinavian users was classified by political orientation. Researchers have used various methods to determine social media users’ political affiliation, such as follower–followee networks (Himelboim et al., 2013; Narayanan et al., 2018); users’ stated political ideologies in their bios (Himelboim et al., 2016); hashtag usage (Bovet et al., 2018; Conover et al., 2011); linguistic patterns found through machine learning (Clark et al., 2018; Colleoni et al., 2014); and retweet networks (Wong et al., 2016). Many of these methods involve a certain level of national similarity (e.g., that American users will largely use the same hashtags or share linguistic patterns), or even ideological homophily (e.g., that people will follow people they agree with) or political passion (e.g., that they will indicate their politics in their bio).

Because the data used here involves different national milieux, these methods were deemed inapplicable. Instead, I employed manual analysis; manual annotation of political orientation is a standard part of machine-learning methods, and though non-scalable, is considered reliable. Following Colleoni and colleagues (2014), I classified users based on tweet content into the following categories: pro-Biden, anti-Trump, pro-Trump, anti-Biden, neither, or unknown/informational. A reliability assessment with a second coder showed an acceptable kappa value of .864 (p < .005). The pro-Biden and anti-Trump users are later grouped as Biden-leaning; pro-Trump and anti-Biden are grouped as Trump-leaning.

Chi-square tests were then used to test the correlation between the identified modularity classes and the political orientation of users who shared content from outlets within these communities. A significant correlation suggests that users in the network tended to share the same content as other users with the same political views, and thus audience polarisation. Cramer’s V is used as a measure of the degree of audience polarisation.

Results
Media fragmentation and overlap

Table 1 shows the results of measurements taken on the media-to-media networks. In summary, media duplication is relatively high in all four networks, with densities ranging from 0.67 to 0.88 (cf. Fletcher & Nielsen, 2017: 488). Transitivity is also high across all networks, indicating a high level of interconnectedness. The diameter is consistently low at 2 for each network, suggesting short paths between outlets, while centralisation varies across the networks, with the Norwegian-language network (Nor-Nor) having the highest, and Sweden’s English-language network (Swe-Eng) having the lowest centralisation. Modularity, a measure of community structure, is extremely low in the Scandinavian languages, and higher in English, a point I return to in the next section on polarisation. Overall, these findings suggest that there is a considerable amount of overlap in the media outlets used in these networks, supporting the media duplication argument.

Summaries of country–language media networks

Nor-Nor Nor-Eng Swe-Swe Swe-Eng
Size: Outlets 21 139 20 104
Size: Ties 140 7,759 163 4,714
Duplication (density) .67 .81 .86 .88
Modularity .10 .24 .05 .23
Diameter 2 2 2 2
Transitivity .81 .89 .90 .92
Centralisation .31 .19 .16 .12

Comparing the Scandinavian-language tweets (Nor-Nor and Swe-Swe) with the English-language tweets (Nor-Eng and Swe-Eng), we can observe that the national languages have slightly lower duplication (0.67 and 0.86) compared with their respective English-language tweets (0.81 and 0.88), an indication that there is somewhat higher fragmentation in the Scandinavian-language networks. Although, interestingly, the Norwegian-language network has the least media duplication of the four networks (67%) and is also more centralised. It is also larger than Sweden’s in terms of outlets, despite being a smaller country. This suggests a few dominant outlets, followed by a longer tail in Norway, reflecting a few major players in an otherwise diffuse media market – possibly a reflection of Norway’s support of local newspapers that serve the country’s dispersed population (Syvertsen et al., 2014: 53–56).

While transitivity is high for all networks, the Scandinavian-language networks have slightly lower transitivity values (0.81 and 0.90) compared with the English-language networks (0.89 and 0.92). This implies that the Scandinavian-language networks have somewhat less interconnectedness among their media outlets. The Scandinavian-language networks also exhibit higher centralisation (0.31 and 0.16) than the English-language networks (0.19 and 0.12), which suggests that the Scandinavian-language networks have a more concentrated distribution of influence or power within their networks compared with the English-language networks.

This is further reflected in the network visualisations in Figures 2a–d. Following previous studies (Fletcher & Nielsen, 2017; Narayanan et al., 2018; Webster & Ksiazek, 2012), these graphs have been created using the Fruchterman Reingold algorithm, which places the outlets roughly equidistant to each other. The outlets have been sized according to the number of connections they have with other outlets (degree). In the Norwegian- and Swedish-language networks, we see highly read tabloid newspapers at the centre (VG and Expressen), and relatively centrally located public broadcasters (NRK and SVT) and daily broadsheets (Aftenposten and Aftonbladet), while the English-language networks are tightly clustered, but have no clear, centralised source.

FIGURE 2A

Norway’s Norwegian-language media network

FIGURE 2B

Sweden’s Swedish-language media network

FIGURE 2C

Norway’s English-language media network

FIGURE 2D

Sweden’s English-language media network

Comments: Figures 2a–d illustrate the way different media outlets are connected each other based on the users that share them. Each country has been separated into the national language (Nor-Nor and Swe-Swe) and English (Nor-Eng and Swe-Eng) based on the language of the tweet. Networks are visualised using the Fruchterman Reingold algorithm in Gephi. In the English language networks, the 25 most well-connected outlets are labelled to ensure readability.

These visualisations illustrate the overall findings: The Scandinavian-language networks (Nor-Nor and Swe-Swe) are characterised by smaller network size, lower duplication densities, lower modularity, slightly lower transitivity, and higher centralisation compared with the English-language networks (Nor-Eng and Swe-Eng). These differences indicate that the English-language networks have a greater variety of media outlets and a more distinct community structure, while the Scandinavian-language networks have a more concentrated distribution of influence or power within their networks. More to the point, there is more media fragmentation in the Scandinavian-language networks than in English.

Audience polarisation

Polarisation is operationalised as the strength of association between clusters of media outlets and the political orientation of the users who shared links to those outlets. As we saw in Table 1, the modularity values for the Scandinavian-language networks are lower (0.10 and 0.05) than those for the English-language networks (0.24 and 0.23), indicating that the Scandinavian-language networks have a less distinct community structure compared with the English-language networks.

After running the modularity class algorithm, a chi-square test of independence was performed to determine the relationship between the different modularity classes and user political orientation. The results of these tests for each country–language network is shown in Figures 4a–d, along with graphical representations of the bivariate relationship. The associations are statistically significant (p < 0.05) in each case, though the Norwegian-language results are only slightly below this threshold (p = 0.033).

The tests suggest a certain amount of audience polarisation in each network, but with greater polarisation in the English-language networks. There are also interesting differences between the two countries. The Norwegian-language polarisation is the lowest (.378), but in English, Norwegians have the highest level of polarisation of the four networks (.7). The Swedish users in their national language are already relatively polarised (.506), and more so in English (.672). Examination of standardised residuals indicate that it is the Trump-leaners in the national languages that mainly have distinct media tastes, while in the English-language networks, both the Biden- and Trump-leaners stick to certain clusters of media. Interestingly, we also see in Figure 4b that the Swedish-language tweets are dominated by Trump-leaners, though this is not the case in English. It may be a sign of language preference among Trump-supporting Swedes, or an indication that Trump supporters shared more links to Swedish-language content than Biden’s Swedish supporters.

To further understand the polarisation in the networks, I revisit the media-to-media networks, but this time use a network visualisation algorithm, ForceAtlas 2, that spaces nodes according to shared relationships between nodes (Jacomy et al., 2014). These visualisations are shown in Figures 3a–d. This makes it easier to see the social distances between outlets, as constructed by their audiences. In these network images, we can clearly see two groupings in the English-language networks. While there are still connections bridging the two sides, it appears that Scandinavian users critical of Trump and/or favourable to Biden tend to share links to outlets like the Washington Post and The Hill, while users critical of Biden and/or favourable to Trump are more likely to share links to Fox News and Russia Today. This is similar to findings about Americans’ own preferences for media, as found by Iyengar and Hahn (2009), the Pew Research Center (Jurkowitz et al., 2022; Mitchell et al., 2014), and the Reuters Institute (Newman et al., 2017). Meanwhile, in the Swedish-language network, right-wing alternative outlets like Samtiden and Fria Tider are in the same cluster with the public broadcaster and other mainstream outlets. In Norway, we do see that the populist Resett, Document.no, and Lykten are in their own cluster, but the people sharing links to these media are no more likely to be Trump-leaning. I discuss these findings further in the next section.

FIGURE 3A

Norway’s Norwegian-language media network, with modularity classes

FIGURE 3B

Sweden’s Swedish-language media network, with modularity classes

FIGURE 3C

Norway’s English-language media network, with modularity classes

FIGURE 3D

Sweden’s English-language media network, with modularity classes

Comments: In Figures 3a–d, the media networks from Figures 2a–d have been restructured using the ForceAtlas 2 algorithm, which better visualises divisions in the network. Distinct communities or “modularity classes” have been colourised.

FIGURE 4A

Norway’s Norwegian-language media network, with modularity class and political orientation correlations

FIGURE 4B

Sweden’s Swedish-language media network, with modularity class and political orientation correlations

FIGURE 4C

Sweden’s English-language media network, with modularity class and political orientation correlations

FIGURE 4D

Norway’s English-language media network, with modularity class and political orientation correlations

Comments: Figures 4a–d illustrate the relationship between the different modularity classes of media and the political orientation of the users who shared media outlets within these classes. The strength of correlation (V) shows the level of audience polarisation in each country–language group. The colours of the bars correspond to the colours of the modularity classes in Figures 3a–d.

Discussion: Contextual fragmentation and polarisation

The analysis of media fragmentation and audience polarisation in different media contexts reveals varying levels of these phenomena across the four country–language media networks examined. The findings suggest that the Scandinavian-language networks (Nor-Nor and Swe-Swe) exhibit smaller network size, higher fragmentation, lower modularity, and higher centralisation compared with the media-sharing behaviours of the same population of users in English-language networks (Nor-Eng and Swe-Eng). Moreover, the users exhibit more audience polarisation when sharing English-language or American media, following similar patterns to those documented in studies of Americans. This supports the idea that it is not the cultural background of the audience that dictates the level of fragmentation and polarisation, but the structural and sociopolitical context of the media system. Such context-specific clues have been previously found by Steppat and colleagues (2022) and Aalberg and colleagues (2013) on an individual level. This study brings the finding to an audience level.

Moreover, the distinction between media fragmentation and audience polarisation is crucial. This study drives home the point that they are not synonymous, and may not even be directly linked (cf. Prior, 2007): The English-language networks are both less fragmented and more polarised. One interpretation is that audience polarisation can have a cohesive effect, often overlooked due to the negative associations polarisation has for political systems that need to incorporate both in-groups and out-groups. More interestingly, the in-group effect here involves foreign media consumers, who have traditionally been considered an out-group.

Of course, the sharing behaviour of Scandinavian Twitter users may not necessarily reflect their actual media consumption but could instead be a sign of their social and political milieux on Twitter (Bhagat & Kim, 2022). In line with social theories of online news sharing (Papacharissi, 2015; Bruns, 2018), I would suggest that Scandinavians’ preferences for American media may be more affective than ideological – with Twitter offering the Scandinavian users access to American political social identities (Iyengar et al., 2012). As Bruns argues, one of the motivations for news sharing is to “to anchor a social media identity” (Bruns, 2018: 138). In other words, Trump-supporting Scandinavians share Fox News stories not because Fox aligns with their political positions, but because that’s what other Trump supporters do. Political affect – the feeling of us versus them – may be a more accessible entry point into to American politics than policy positions, particularly following the first Trump administration (as it may also be for Americans; see Gentzkow, 2016).

These findings thus have several implications for understanding global interconnection in digital spheres and the challenges of disentangling one national sphere from another. The fact that Scandinavian Twitter users exhibit more polarisation when sharing English-language or American media suggests that the traditional notion of distinct national spheres may no longer be adequate for understanding media fragmentation and polarisation in the digital age. The literature shows that Scandinavians have typically had much lower levels of political and affective polarisation. The adoption of American partisan patterns – particularly affective polarisation – could potentially influence discourse in Scandinavian countries. The findings in Norway are particularly surprising, given that Norway has generally been viewed as a less polarised country than Sweden. This raises the question of how American politics might activate divisions in the Norwegian sphere.

In this article, an artificial division has been made between the national-language networks and English-language networks for the sake of comparison. But it is important to remember that in the “curated flows” of Twitter (Thorson & Wells, 2016), these are not separate spheres. When a Norwegian individual retweets an English-language story from The Hill, it becomes part of a blended media environment that transcends traditional barriers and contributes to the selected or incidental exposure of other users.

Even so, one of the clear limitations of this study is that only Twitter data during the 2020 American presidential race was collected. This context may not accurately reflect the typical patterns of news sharing among Scandinavian users, given the heightened media consumption and political engagement associated with such a high-profile event. Moreover, focusing solely on Twitter neglects other forms of media consumption and engagement that might provide a more holistic understanding of audience behaviour. The demographic profile of the dataset also likely skews towards users who are highly politically interested, urban, male, and multilingual, thus potentially limiting the generalisability of the findings.

Additionally, this study does not differentiate between various types of tweets. A retweet sharing a news link, for example, may be motivated by different factors than an original tweet. The data indicate that English-language tweets were predominantly retweets, whereas Swedish- and Norwegian-language tweets exhibited a more balanced distribution between original posts and retweets. This suggests that Norwegians and Swedes may engage in more nuanced or critical discussions when interacting with media in their national languages, a factor that could further influence the patterns observed here. Previous studies have found that retweeting tends to be more ideologically congruent, and therefore more polarised (Conover et al., 2011; Enjolras & Salway, 2022). The purpose here was to track the overall media-sharing patterns among Swedish and Norwegian audiences engaging with the American election, regardless of intention, but it would be interesting for future research to explore more deeply the types of posts that global audiences make about American presidential races.

Conclusion

This article sheds light on the interplay between media fragmentation, audience polarisation, and the role of different media contexts in shaping these phenomena in the digital age. By examining the media-sharing habits of Twitter users in Sweden and Norway in both their native languages and English, I was able to isolate the structural factors that influence media fragmentation and polarisation. The findings demonstrate that even audiences from countries known for their relatively low polarisation adopted American-like patterns of polarisation in a digital context. These findings underscore the need for researchers and policymakers to consider the broader context of digital interconnection and the challenges it poses for political information and discourse. This study also highlights the conceptual distinction between fragmentation and polarisation, finding that these were not consistently linked.

My investigation is only one way into these questions, though. Twitter is not representative of the broader population’s media consumption and sharing habits. Future research could take other methodological approaches, such as surveys and webtracking data that also considers international outlets, and could collect data from different time periods or events. Additionally, further intranational research comparing the same groups in different digital contexts will be valuable for disentangling the effects of media consumption and sharing behaviour in online spaces.

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Social Sciences, Communication Science, Mass Communication, Public and Political Communication