<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">

<p>Wind energy is one of the most important ways to implement green energy in Lithuania. The development of wind energy infrastructure by state funding is directly related to wind energy resources. Changes in wind energy resources induced by ongoing climate change have not been well analyzed either in Lithuania or in Europe or worldwide. This article analyses data taken from long-term wind observations and IPCC projections. It was found that during the last decades (1980–2019), the wind speed in Lithuania decreased up to 0.69 m/s in the coastal region and up to 0.24 m/s in the central part of Lithuania. The decrease in wind speed caused a decrease in generated energy by 15.6 % and 17.8 % in the coastal and the central parts of Lithuania. Analysis of wind speed projections for the period 2010–2100, according to the RCP4.5 scenario, has shown that the average annual wind speed would decrease by 7.3 % in Lithuanian’s coastal region and 8.8 % the central region by the end of the century. The change in wind speed will cause up to a 25 % reduction in wind potential. As the average lifetime of wind turbines is about 25 years, the amount of electricity generated during this period will be up to 20 % lower than planned at the design stage.</p>
</abstract>

Wind energy is one of the most important ways to implement green energy in Lithuania. The development of wind energy infrastructure by state funding is directly related to wind energy resources. Changes in wind energy resources induced by ongoing climate change have not been well analyzed either in Lithuania or in Europe or worldwide. This article analyses data taken from long-term wind observations and IPCC projections. It was found that during the last decades (1980–2019), the wind speed in Lithuania decreased up to 0.69 m/s in the coastal region and up to 0.24 m/s in the central part of Lithuania. The decrease in wind speed caused a decrease in generated energy by 15.6 % and 17.8 % in the coastal and the central parts of Lithuania. Analysis of wind speed projections for the period 2010–2100, according to the RCP4.5 scenario, has shown that the average annual wind speed would decrease by 7.3 % in Lithuanian’s coastal region and 8.8 % the central region by the end of the century. The change in wind speed will cause up to a 25 % reduction in wind potential. As the average lifetime of wind turbines is about 25 years, the amount of electricity generated during this period will be up to 20 % lower than planned at the design stage.

Impact of Climate Change on Wind Potential in Lithuania Territory

Environmental and Climate Technologies

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

{"article-title":"Impact of Climate Change on Wind Potential in Lithuania Territory"}

Wind energy is one of the most important ways to implement green energy in Lithuania. The development of wind energy infrastructure by state funding is...

Impact of Climate Change on Wind Potential in Lithuania Territory

Published Online: Jan 24, 2022

Page range: 1 - 11

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/rtuect-2022-0001

Keywords
Climate change, projections, wind energy potential, wind speed

© 2022 Justė Jankevičienė et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Impact of Climate Change on Wind Potential in Lithuania Territory

Published Online: Jan 24, 2022

Page range: 1 - 11

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/rtuect-2022-0001

KeywordsClimate change, projections, wind energy potential, wind speed

© 2022 Justė Jankevičienė et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Keywords
Climate change, projections, wind energy potential, wind speed