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Financial development and income inequality

   | Oct 03, 2020

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Variable definition and source

VariableSource description
GiniGini index measures the extent to which the distribution of income (or, in some cases, consumption expenditure) among individuals or households within an economy
q1–q5Express the share of total income going to each fifth of the population according to the size of their incomes. The first group is the poorest 20%, while the fifth quintile is the richest 20%; data from WIID
Controlled independent variables
PopulationAnnual population growth rate for year t is the exponential rate of growth of midyear population from year t - 1 to t, expressed as a percentage. Population is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship
TradeTrade is the sum of exports and imports of goods and services measured as a share of gross domestic product
GovtGeneral government final consumption expenditure (% of GDP)
GDPGDP per capita growth (annual %)
Financial independent variables
CreditDomestic credit to private sector (% of GDP)
Bank noninterest income to total income (%)Bank's income that has been generated by noninterest related activities as a percentage of total income (net-interest income plus noninterest income). Noninterest related income includes net gains on trading and derivatives, net gains on other securities, net fees and commissions and other operating income
ATMs per 100,000 adultsNumber of ATMs per 100,000 adults
Bank concentration (%)Assets of three largest commercial banks as a share of total commercial banking assets. Total assets include total earning assets, cash and due from banks, foreclosed real estate, fixed assets, goodwill, other intangibles, current tax assets, deferred tax assets, discontinued operations and other assets
Foreign banks among total banks (%)Percentage of the number of foreign owned banks to the number of the total banks in an Economy. A foreign bank is a bank where 50% or more of its shares are owned by foreigners

Model 1 for the Gini Coefficient

Dependent variable: Gini coefficient
1234567
Domestic credit to private sector % GDP0.02 (0.01)0.03** (0.01)0.03*** (0.01)
ATM (access)−0.05*** (0.01)−0.05*** (0.01)−0.06*** (0.01)
Foreign banks (depth)−0.12*** (0.03)−0.14*** (0.03)−0.13*** (0.03)
Bank concentration (stability)0.01 (0.02)0.03 (0.02)
Bank noninterest income (efficiency)0.03* (0.02)0.02 (0.01)
GDP growth0.12 (0.09)0.01 (0.08)0.04 (0.09)0.12 (0.09)0.07 (0.09)0.05 (0.08)
Trade0.01 (0.01)0.01 (0.01)0.01 (0.01)0.003 (0.01)0.01 (0.01)0.0000 (0.01)
Population growth−0.22 (0.49)−0.06 (0.43)−0.42 (0.51)0.16 (0.51)−0.02 (0.49)−0.22 (0.44)
Government spending−0.36** (0.16)−0.42*** (0.15)−0.27* (0.16)−0.28* (0.16)−0.29* (0.16)−0.39*** (0.14)−0.42*** (0.12)
Observations186177177179185165169
R20.090.220.180.080.090.440.41
Adjusted R2−0.31−0.13−0.18−0.34−0.310.140.15
F Statistic2.47** (df = 5; 129)7.02*** (df = 5; 121)5.25*** (df = 5; 123)2.08* (df = 5; 122)2.54** (df = 5; 128)9.41*** (df = 9; 107)20.37*** (df = 4; 116)

Model 2 for income growth by quintile

Dependent variable: income growth by quintile as dependent variable
FirstSecondThirdFourthFifth
−1−2−3−4−5
Foreign banks (depth)0.03*** (0.004)0.03*** (0.005)0.03*** (0.01)0.02*** (0.01)−0.10*** (0.02)
ATM (access)0.01*** (0.002)0.01*** (0.002)0.01*** (0.002)0.01*** (0.002)−0.05*** (0.01)
Bank noninterest income (efficiency)0.001 (0.002)−0.002 (0.002)−0.003 (0.002)−0.004** (0.002)0.01 (0.01)
Bank concentration (stability)−0.002 (0.002)−0.01*** (0.002)−0.01** (0.003)−0.004 (0.003)0.02** (0.01)
Domestic credit to private sector % GDP−0.004*** (0.002)−0.005*** (0.002)−0.01*** (0.002)−0.004** (0.002)0.02*** (0.01)
GDP growth0.01** (0.01)−0.003 (0.01)−0.01* (0.01)−0.02** (0.01)0.02 (0.02)
Trade−0.004** (0.002)0.0004 (0.002)0.003 (0.002)0.005* (0.002)−0.003 (0.01)
Population growth0.22*** (0.06)0.06 (0.06)−0.01 (0.07)0.03 (0.08)−0.31 (0.23)
Government spending0.06*** (0.02)0.09*** (0.02)0.10*** (0.02)0.08*** (0.02)−0.33*** (0.07)
Observations361361361361361
R20.300.330.290.160.31
Adjusted R20.160.200.16−0.0040.17
F Statistic (df = 9; 301)14.44***16.26***13.98***6.39***15.01***

Descriptive statistics

MeanSDMinimumMaximumValid N
Trade96.2657.1522.11349.24469
Pop0.720.87−2.262.89468
Credit82.7852.980.19312.12451
GDP1.973.76−14.5612.92469
Govt17.504.636.2127.94469
Bank.concentration67.0721.2421.70100449
Foreign.banks41.7027.38096447
ATM69.8341.103.05222.82411
Bank.noninterest.income37.7614.632.2884.51467
Gini_reported38.099.3923.7260.79469
q16.412.131.9010.23469
q211.222.465.4914.88469
q315.572.159.9718.31469
q421.841.3118.2624.63469
q544.977.7234.0264.29469

Comparison of long and short run having as dependent variable Gini coefficient

Dependent variable: Gini coefficient
Foreign.banks−0.14*** (0.03)−0.12*** (0.02)
ATM−0.05*** (0.01)−0.06*** (0.01)
Bank.noninterest.income0.02 (0.01)0.01 (0.01)
Bank.concentration0.03 (0.02)0.02** (0.01)
Credit0.03** (0.01)0.02*** (0.01)
GDP0.05 (0.08)0.004 (0.03)
Trade0.0000 (0.01)0.0002 (0.01)
Pop−0.22 (0.44)−0.49* (0.26)
Govt−0.39*** (0.14)−0.39*** (0.08)
Observations165361
R20.440.32
Adjusted R20.140.19
F Statistic9.41*** (df = 9; 107)15.85*** (df = 9; 301)

Review of literature

AuthorTime spanEconometric methodologyResultsIncrease/decrease income inequality
1Clarke et al. (2006)91 countries for the period 1960–1995Y = log of Gini; X = private credit to GDP, bank asset; GMM; FENo evidence of an inverted-U-shaped relation between financial sector development; consistent with the theoretical models in Galor and Zeira (1993) and Banerjee and Newman (1993)Decrease ⇣
2Roine et al. (2009)16 countries over the entire twentieth centuryY = quintiles; X = Bank deposits, Stock market capitalisation, total market capitalisation; first difference estimatorFinancial development is also pro-rich; it increases income inequalityIncrease ⇣
3Jaumotte et al. (2013)51 countries over a 23-year period from 1981 to 2003Y = Gini, quintiles; X = portfolio debt and equity flows, FDI, of private credit to GDPFinancial globalisation cause increase in inequalityIncrease ⇣
4Maldonado (2017)A sample of 27 European Union member states from 1995 to 2012Y = S80/S20 ratio, Gini; X = stock market capitalisation and bank assets to GDPAn increase in the market-based component of a financial system leads to higher income inequality measured by the Gini coefficientIncrease ⇣
5de Haan et al. (2017)A sample of 121 countries covering 1975–2005Y = Gini; X = private credit to GDP, economic freedom, banking regulatory practices, banking crisis + interactions with institution; dynamic panel model instead of OLS cross-section regressions in our main analysis; G2SLSAll finance variables increase income inequalityIncrease ⇣
6Jauch and Watzka (2012)138 developed and developing countries over the years 1960–2008Y = Gini gross and net; X = credit-to-GDP; GMM; FEFinancial development has a positive effect on income inequalityIncrease ⇣
7Delis et al. (2012)91 countries for which information on bank regulations is available over the period 1973–2005Y = Theil index, Gini, quintiles; X = ratio of bank deposits to bank credit, bank crisis, political orientation of the government, overall political-liberalisation processes, quality institutions, transparency (the inverse of Corruption); FE; 2SLSOverall liberalization of banking systems decreases the Gini coefficient and the Theil index significantlyDecrease ⇣
8Beck et al. (2007)92 countries 1960–2000Y = Gini, quintiles; X = private credit to GDP, commercial central bank; GMM; FEFinancial development reduces income inequalityDecrease ⇣
9Naceur and Zhang (2016)Sample of 143 countries from 1961 to 2011Y = Gini; X = bank accounts per 1,000 adults, value traded of the top 10 trading companies to total value traded, private credit to GDP, the ratio of regulatory capital to risk-weighted assets, interest rate control, entry barriers, and privatisation, the ratio of consolidated foreign claims of BIS-reporting banks to GDP, GMM; FEAccess to finance, financial efficiency and stability reduce poverty and inequality; financial liberalisation increase inequalityDecrease ⇣
eISSN:
2543-6821
Language:
English