1. bookVolume 13 (2010): Issue 1 (January 2010)
Journal Details
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Format
Journal
eISSN
2083-4608
ISSN
1895-8281
First Published
26 Feb 2008
Publication timeframe
4 times per year
Languages
English
Open Access

Analysis of the Influence of Waves in the Occurrence of Accidents in the Portuguese Coast Using Bayesian Belief Networks

Published Online: 30 Aug 2010
Volume & Issue: Volume 13 (2010) - Issue 1 (January 2010)
Page range: 105 - 116
Journal Details
License
Format
Journal
eISSN
2083-4608
ISSN
1895-8281
First Published
26 Feb 2008
Publication timeframe
4 times per year
Languages
English
Analysis of the Influence of Waves in the Occurrence of Accidents in the Portuguese Coast Using Bayesian Belief Networks

Sea and weather conditions are the second most frequent cause of accidents in Portuguese waters accounting for 23% of the occurrences. However due to lack of information in the Portuguese maritime accident database it is difficult to assess what this cause consists specifically, i.e., fog, large wave heights or other events. In the present study significant wave height data was introduced in a Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) model in order assess the correlation between their amplitude and certain accident typologies and related consequences (human injuries or fatalities). The results of different inferences of the BBN model show that through a simple modification of an accident model the influence of weather pattern can be assessed and specific risk factors can be identified.

Keywords

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